The Origin of Oxygenic Photosynthesis

Photosystem II is related to the reaction centres of bacteria that make no oxygen, and each photosystem type works alone in some bacteria. But no living intermediate, laboratory route or priced pathway reaches the four-manganese cluster that splits water, and when and how the two photosystems joined is unsettled.

By AI (Claude Opus 5.5, thinking level unavailable) Draft:  October 2026

"It is hard to imagine a more dramatic step in biochemical evolution than the final tinkering with the manganese–calcium cluster in the oxygen-evolving complex of PSII that led to the splitting of water and the release of molecular O2."
Joseph Kirschvink and Robert Kopp, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 20081

"there are no bacterial lineages known that branch immediately ancestral to cyanobacteria and that possess only one RC or some other 'primitive' form of photosynthesis."
William Martin, Donald Bryant and J. Thomas Beatty, FEMS Microbiology Reviews, 20182

Summary

Almost all the oxygen in the air was made by one machine.  Cyanobacteria, algae and plants use light to pull electrons out of water, and the oxygen is what is left over.  The work needs two light-driven protein complexes, Photosystem II and Photosystem I, working in series, and a cluster of four manganese atoms and one calcium atom that holds the water while four electrons are taken from it.  Every other photosynthetic bacterium uses a single, simpler reaction centre and makes no oxygen.  This article asks how the oxygen-making machine arose, and for each step separates what has been observed, what is inferred and what is assumed.

  1. The machine is large, and it destroys itself in use. Photosystem II has about 20 protein subunits and 35 chlorophylls in each half of its paired form. Seven amino acids, six from the D1 protein and one from CP43, hold the manganese cluster.3 Photosystem I has 12 subunits and 127 cofactors.4 More than 20 helper proteins guide the assembly of Photosystem II.5 Light damages it at every intensity, so cells keep taking it apart and replacing its D1 protein.6
  2. The creationist and design case is mostly an argument from the whole system. Rick Swindell, writing in Journal of Creation in 2003, argues that photosynthesis is irreducibly complex, that "nothing works unless everything works," and that "there has never been a time in Earth's history when there was not significant free oxygen."777 Answers in Genesis repeats him. Cornelius Hunter of the Discovery Institute says cyanobacteria "just appeared" with the machinery and that its source is unknown.8 Writers at Reasons to Believe and ISCAST accept the mainstream history and credit design. No young-earth or design writer found here discusses where the manganese cluster came from or the engineered reaction centres, and only Hunter mentions the cyanobacteria's non-photosynthetic relatives.
  3. The two photosystems are related to simpler reaction centres. That much is observed. The core proteins of Photosystem II share about 17% of their amino acids with those of the purple bacteria's reaction centre, and the lead author of that count writes that "There is no doubt" they share a common origin. Photosystem I has the same build as the single photosystem of green sulfur bacteria.910 Each simpler type runs photosynthesis by itself in living bacteria today. Photosystem I also runs alone in plants when Photosystem II is blocked, cycling electrons to make ATP.9 So Swindell's "nothing works unless everything works" is wrong for photosynthesis in general. It is right for the one job of taking electrons from water all the way to the cell's reducing molecule, which needs both photosystems.
  4. Nobody has seen an intermediate. No living organism has a water-splitting centre in a simpler form, a single reaction centre that oxidises manganese, or the two photosystems under a switch. The closest living relatives of cyanobacteria, found in 2013 and 2017, have no photosynthetic genes at all.1112 Whether cyanobacteria got their two photosystems by merging genes from two other bacteria or by duplicating one and losing parts elsewhere is still argued, and Martin, Bryant and Beatty write that there is "no consensus."2
  5. Laboratories have built the first step and stopped there. JoAnn Williams and James Allen gave a purple-bacterial reaction centre six amino-acid changes, three to make it more oxidising and three to make a manganese site. It binds one manganese, takes an electron from it, and turns superoxide into oxygen. It does not split water, and without the manganese the more oxidising version is not stable in light.1313 The real cluster assembles itself on its protein in light, with about 1% efficiency.14 No experiment has evolved a water-splitting centre from one that cannot split water.
  6. The first step can be priced, and the price depends on whether each change helped. The six changes need at least 11 DNA base changes. At the one measured cyanobacterial mutation rate, if each change helped its owner a little, all of them spread in a few centuries. If each was neutral and drifted in alone, about 50 to 70 million years. If all had to arrive together, as in Michael Behe and David Snoke's model, the manganese site alone takes about 30,000 years in a population the size of today's ocean cyanobacteria and far longer than the age of the universe in a population of the size that sets the pace of drift. The whole machine has no counted pathway, so it cannot be priced at all.
  7. The dates are not settled, and the rocks give an order. Mainstream estimates for when water splitting began run from 3.8 to about 2.2 billion years ago, and molecular clocks give dates from 3.5 to 1.5 billion years.115 The rocks show an air with almost no oxygen, then oxygen, and Stromatolites and Banded Iron Formations tests the young-earth placements of those rocks. Swindell's claim that oxygen was always present contradicts the textbook he cites for it.9

The verdict.  Three questions get three answers.  The claim that photosynthesis is irreducible because nothing works without everything is wrong:  simpler reaction centres work alone, the parts are related, and several outer subunits can be removed one at a time.  The claim that no stepwise route to the water-splitting machine has been shown is right:  no organism, experiment or calculation has gone past the first manganese, and the mainstream papers say so.  When the machine arose, in which lineage, and by merger or by duplication, is unfinished on both sides, and no young-earth model has yet tried to explain the evidence the mainstream argues from.

Part 1: What has to exist

Two photosystems in series.  Oxygenic photosynthesis takes electrons from water and puts them on NADP+, the carrier the cell uses to build sugar.  Robert Blankenship's standard textbook describes the main route as "non-cyclic electron transfer, in which water is oxidized to molecular oxygen and NADP+ is reduced to NADPH, driven by two sequential photoreactions in photosystems 2 and 1."9  Photosystem II makes an oxidant strong enough to pull electrons out of water.  Photosystem I makes a reductant strong enough to load them onto ferredoxin and NADP+.  Each electron is pushed uphill twice, once by each photosystem, so the minimum is eight photons for each oxygen molecule.9  This arrangement is called the Z scheme, after the shape of its energy diagram.

A very strong oxidant.  Water gives up its electrons only to an oxidant stronger than +0.82 volts at neutral pH.9  The oxidised chlorophyll pair at the heart of Photosystem II, P680, reaches an estimated +1.2 volts, which Blankenship states without a source.9  The equivalent pair in the purple bacteria's reaction centre sits at about +0.5 volts.16  So the purple-bacterial centre, the nearest relative of Photosystem II, falls about 0.7 volts short.

A four-electron store.  Water oxidation removes four electrons to make one oxygen molecule, but a reaction centre moves one electron per photon.  Blankenship calls this "a serious mismatch between the intrinsic chemistries of these two processes."9  The fix is a cluster of four manganese atoms and one calcium atom, bridged by five oxygen atoms, which steps through a cycle of states and gives up oxygen only after the fourth.317  Six amino acids of the D1 protein and one of CP43 hold the metals, and each manganese has six attached atoms and the calcium seven.33  Two chloride ions sit close by, and Ca2+ and Cl- are both needed for the cluster to assemble and work.18

The parts list.  Each half of the paired Photosystem II holds about 20 protein subunits, 35 chlorophylls, 2 pheophytins, 11 carotenes, 2 plastoquinones, a non-haem iron, two haems and the metal cluster.3  Photosystem I has 12 subunits and 127 cofactors, 96 of them chlorophylls.4  Light-harvesting antennas feed both.  In cyanobacteria the antenna is the phycobilisome, a protein assembly of 5 to 20 megadaltons on the outside of the membrane.19  In plants it is LHC-II, which binds 14 chlorophylls per unit.20  The light reactions also need the cytochrome b6f complex, plastocyanin, ferredoxin and an ATP synthase, which this article does not count.

Assembly with helpers.  Photosystem II is not put together in one step.  More than 20 helper proteins that are not part of the finished machine guide its assembly in modules.5  One of them, Psb28, holds the half-built complex in a protected state in which the iron near the electron acceptor is bound by a glutamate, as it is in the purple bacteria's reaction centre.5  The metal cluster is added last.  The D1 protein is made with a tail that a protease must cut off before the cluster can form.18

The cluster builds itself, slowly.  When the cluster is stripped out of Photosystem II, the amino acids that held it stay where they were, leaving "a pre-organized ligand shell."21  Isolated Photosystem II stripped of its cluster rebuilds it in the test tube from manganese and calcium ions in light, a process called photoactivation.14  Bicarbonate and the outer protein subunits raise its speed and yield.18  A sub-complex lacking CP43, the protein that supplies one of the seven ligands, can still be photoactivated, but it makes oxygen at 20% of the normal rate and is "highly unstable."18  It is inefficient:  about 1% of absorbed photons lead to assembly, against more than 90% for water splitting once the cluster is built.14  Without calcium the protein binds and oxidises up to 20 manganese ions and makes no oxygen.18

A machine that wrecks itself.  The strong oxidant that splits water also damages the protein around it.  Light damage to Photosystem II happens at every light intensity, and the cell repairs it by partly taking the complex apart, replacing D1 with a new copy, and putting it back together.6  Gerard Dismukes's group puts the loss of activity "as often as every 15-30 minutes under normal solar flux conditions."18  In a strain of the cyanobacterium Synechocystis grown in dim light, D1 was replaced five to twenty times faster than the other Photosystem II proteins, with a half-life of one to one and a half hours.22  Because D1 holds most of the cluster's ligands, the cluster has to be rebuilt each time.18

Which parts are needed.  Not every subunit is needed for growth.  Cyanobacteria with any one of the three outer proteins PsbO, PsbU or PsbV deleted still grow on light alone, more slowly:  doubling times rose from about 12 hours to 16 hours without PsbV and 19 hours without PsbO.23  Remove PsbO and PsbV together and the cells cannot grow on light, with less than 10% of normal oxygen output.24  The core proteins that hold the chlorophylls and the cluster have no such slack:  without them there is no Photosystem II.

What this part shows.  All of the above is observed.  It sets the bar any origin account has to clear:  a strong oxidant about 0.7 volts beyond the nearest relative's, a four-electron metal store held by seven side chains from two proteins, an assembly line, and a repair cycle fast enough to replace the core every hour or so.

Part 2: What creationists and design writers say

The young-earth literature on this topic is small.  Searches of Creation Ministries International, Answers in Genesis and its Answers Research Journal, the Institute for Creation Research, the Creation Research Society Quarterly, the Discovery Institute's sites, the journal BIO-Complexity and Reasons to Believe found the writers below.  Their claims, in their own words, fall into four groups.

1. The whole system had to arise at once.  Rick Swindell, a plant geneticist writing in Journal of Creation in 2003, gives the fullest case.  His thesis is "that evolution would not have been capable of generating the process of photosynthesis as it exists in cyanobacteria, green algae and higher plants, and that it must therefore have been intelligently designed."7  Most of his paper is about the 17 enzymes that make chlorophyll, the Calvin cycle and the enzymes that protect the cell from oxygen.  On the two photosystems he writes:  "Neither system does anything meaningful apart from the other, which is to say, nothing works unless everything works."7  He concludes that "It defies common sense to imagine that the irreducible complexity of photosynthetic systems would have arisen according to evolutionary theory."7  Roger Patterson's Evolution Exposed for Answers in Genesis summarises Swindell:  "The evolution of photosynthesis appears to be an impossible process as the intermediate products are toxic to the cell."25  Answers in Genesis's children's page says that "God created the various plant kinds with the ability to photosynthesize from the beginning."26  Frank Sherwin of the Institute for Creation Research writes that God made plants on Day 3 "with all of their structures (e.g. chloroplasts) and metabolic processes complete and fully functioning."27

2. No mechanism has been given.  Georgia Purdom of Answers in Genesis, reviewing a 2007 Nature essay by John Allen and William Martin, writes:  "No mechanism is provided for how the photosystems came into existence, just that 'these genes arose' for one photosystem."28  She objects that duplicating a photosystem's genes and mutating them "will only lead to the loss of information," and she asks a sharper question:  "what is the selection pressure to keep both photosystems in a bacterium if one is sufficient?"28  Cornelius Hunter, a Discovery Institute fellow, made the same point in 2017 about the discovery that the closest relatives of cyanobacteria cannot photosynthesise:  "The problem is, from where did the photosynthesis come?"8  He calls convergence, gene transfer and fusion "made up mechanisms to fix the problem that the scientific evidence contradicts evolutionary theory."8

3. Oxygen was always there, and would have killed the first photosynthesisers.  Swindell writes that "there has never been a time in Earth's history when there was not significant free oxygen in the atmosphere," and that "the appearance of ground state oxygen would have been lethal to the cell well before oxygen-disarming complexes evolved."77  Patterson draws the young-earth conclusion:  "If photosynthesis was present from the beginning, the 'oxygen revolution' was never a condition that evolving life had to deal with."25  Michael Oard in Journal of Creation argues that the sulfur-isotope evidence for an oxygen-free early atmosphere "is now equivocal."29  The only young-earth writer found who treats the Great Oxidation Event as an open question rather than an error is Johanna Wood, in a 2025 student poster abstract, who says that "the GOE's validity in earth history would also need to be addressed in a thorough Biblical model."30

4. Accept the history and credit design.  Hugh Ross of the old-earth ministry Reasons to Believe accepts a Great Oxidation Event about 2.4 billion years ago and early photosynthesis, and writes that "Thanks to the many supernatural interventions on the part of the Creator, all these conditions were met and the Great Oxygenation Event did indeed occur."31  Trevor Rapson, a CSIRO chemist writing for the Christian science fellowship ISCAST, accepts the mainstream account and argues from the precision of the machine:  "First, PS II exhibits remarkable fine-tuning at a sub-nanometre scale:  each atom is precisely positioned.  Second, despite this exquisite design, PS II is irreversibly damaged in the very act of splitting water, requiring continual replacement."32

What none of them discusses.  No young-earth or intelligent-design source found says anything about where the manganese cluster came from.  Swindell describes it in one sentence and moves on.  None discusses the engineered manganese reaction centres, the molecular-clock dating of the photosystems or the manganese-precursor hypothesis, and only Hunter's news commentary discusses the non-photosynthetic relatives of the cyanobacteria.  The Discovery Institute's design theorists have written at length on the bacterial flagellum and blood clotting, but no paper by Michael Behe, Douglas Axe, Ann Gauger or Stephen Meyer on photosynthesis was found.  Robert Blankenship wrote in 2008 that photosynthesis "has been portrayed in ID literature as irreducibly complex in those aspects that are not well understood," but he named no design writer, and none who says so was found.33  The argument about irreducibility in general belongs to Irreducible Complexity, and this article tests only its application here.

Errors in the sources.  Three are plain enough to note before the evidence.  Sherwin twice puts oxygen release in the "light-independent stage (the so called dark phase)," with the sugars.3427  Oxygen comes from water splitting in Photosystem II, which is a light reaction, and Swindell's own paper says so.7  Sherwin's 2019 article says evolutionists suggest "this complex process may have spontaneously begun 3.4 billion years ago."34  His source was a press release about Tanai Cardona's 2018 paper, which dates a gene duplication in Photosystem I, not the origin of photosynthesis, and the word "spontaneously" appears in neither.35  Swindell's claim that oxygen was always present cites Blankenship's textbook, which says the opposite (Part 7).

The claims to test.  From these sources, four testable claims follow.  First, that the photosystems work only together and so could not have arisen in parts.  Second, that no stepwise mechanism for the water-splitting machine has been given or shown.  Third, that duplicating and changing genes cannot make a new photosystem.  Fourth, that oxygen was present from the start, so there was no oxygen-free world in which the machine could have evolved.  The first is tested in Part 3, the second in Parts 4 to 6, the third in Parts 3 and 6, and the fourth in Part 7.

Observed:  the reaction centres resemble each other.  Every photosynthetic bacterium has one of two kinds of reaction centre, called type I and type II.  Photosystem II is a type II centre, like the one in purple bacteria.  Photosystem I is a type I centre, like the one in green sulfur bacteria and heliobacteria.  Within the type II family the resemblance shows in the amino acids.  Tanai Cardona and colleagues report that "Any standard D1 or D2 shares on average 17% sequence identity with any L or M," where D1 and D2 are the core of Photosystem II and L and M the core of the purple bacteria's centre, and they write that "There is no doubt that D1, D2, L, and M share a common origin."10  JoAnn Williams and James Allen, who redesign the purple-bacterial centre, begin a paper:  "Although evolutionarily related to photosystem II, bacterial reaction centers lack both a strong oxidant and a manganese cluster."36  Between the two types the resemblance is in shape only.  Martin, Bryant and Beatty write that they "are related at the level of structure ... but with undetectable homology in amino acid sequence alignments."2

Inferred:  common descent of the reaction centres.  Sequence identity and shape are measurements.  That the centres descend from one ancestral protein is an inference from them, and within the type II family it is about as strong as such inferences get.  A design account can accept the resemblance and credit a common designer.  It then owes an answer to the details that do no work.  One is the half-built Photosystem II held by the assembly protein Psb28, in which the iron near the acceptor end is bound by a glutamate, "a structural motif found in reaction centres of non-oxygenic photosynthetic bacteria."5  The same pattern was found for organelles in Endosymbiosis and the Eukaryotic Cell.  The link between type I and type II is much weaker, because it rests on structure alone.

Observed:  each kind works alone.  Purple bacteria run photosynthesis on one type II centre, cycling electrons to make ATP.2  Green sulfur bacteria "have a single photosystem similar to photosystem 1" that loads electrons onto ferredoxin directly.9  Even in plants, Photosystem I runs alone when Photosystem II is blocked with a herbicide, cycling electrons to make ATP.9  So the claim that "Neither system does anything meaningful apart from the other" is wrong as a general statement.7  What is true is narrower:  taking electrons from water and delivering them to NADP+ needs both, because one photon cannot lift an electron that far.  That is the step that has to be explained.

Not observed:  an organism partway.  John Allen proposed in 2005 that both photosystems first existed in one anaerobic lineage, switched on and off by the cell's redox state, "living examples of which are predicted," and that oxygenic photosynthesis began with "a simple mutation that disabled the redox switch."37  No such organism has been found.  Martin, Bryant and Beatty, who favour a similar scenario, write that "there are no bacterial lineages known that branch immediately ancestral to cyanobacteria and that possess only one RC or some other 'primitive' form of photosynthesis."2

Inferred, and disputed:  merger or duplication.  Filipa Sousa, John Allen, William Martin and a colleague set out the two main accounts in 2013.  Either the two kinds of centre evolved in different bacteria "and became merged in cyanobacteria via an event of large-scale lateral gene transfer," or "the two RC types are related via gene duplication in an ancestral, anoxygenic but protocyanobacterial phototroph," after which other bacteria lost one kind or the other.38  Their evidence for duplication is that the genes for making chlorophyll show "no dichotomy" into two families, one for each kind of centre, which a merger of two lineages would predict.38  Armen Mulkidjanian and colleagues proposed a third version, in which photosynthesis began in the cyanobacterial line and spread outward.  They warn that photosynthesis genes move between distant bacteria so readily that this "makes identification of the lineage that was the first to develop chlorophyll-based photosynthesis particularly challenging."39  Gene transfer of photosystem genes is itself observed:  viruses of ocean cyanobacteria carry the Photosystem II core genes and swap them with their hosts "from host to phage, phage to host, and within the phage gene pool."40  But those are genes moving between cyanobacteria that already have Photosystem II.  Nobody has seen a photosystem move into a lineage that lacked one.

Martin, Bryant and Beatty sum up the state of the question:  "There are two main questions about the origin of two types of RCs:  how and why?  The former is much easier to answer than the latter."2  Purdom's question about why a cell would keep two photosystems is the same question.  Martin's group answers it in principle:  two kinds of centre "could be differentially expressed to serve ATP synthesis or Fd reduction, as needed by the cell."2  That is a reason that would work if the organism existed.

Observed:  the closest relatives have nothing.  In 2013 Sara Di Rienzi and colleagues rebuilt the genomes of bacteria from human guts and groundwater that branch next to the cyanobacteria, the Melainabacteria, and found no photosynthetic genes.  They inferred that oxygenic photosynthesis did not arise before the two lines split, "based on the absence of remnants of photosynthetic machinery."11  In 2017 Rochelle Soo and colleagues added a second, deeper group, the Sericytochromatia, and concluded that the cyanobacteria "acquired the genes for photosynthesis relatively late in cyanobacterial evolution."12  This is the finding Hunter took as showing the machinery has no source.  The Imperial College group draws the opposite conclusion from the same tree:  "Vampirovibrionia, Sericytochromatia and Margulisbacteria lost photosynthesis."41  Martin's group calls it "presently unsubstantiated" to name these lineages cyanobacteria at all.2  The genomes are observed.  Whether the relatives never had photosynthesis or lost it is inferred, and the two inferences contradict each other.  On either reading, no living relative shows a halfway machine.

What this part shows.  The parts are related, and each kind of reaction centre works on its own in some living bacterium, so the strong form of the irreducibility claim fails.  The weaker form survives:  no organism has been found that holds an intermediate between one centre and two in series, and the leading mainstream reviewers say the "why" of the joining is the harder question.

Part 4: From one manganese to water splitting

The hardest step is the one Kirschvink and Kopp call "the final tinkering with the manganese–calcium cluster."1  The mainstream literature says plainly that it is not understood.  Cardona, James Murray and William Rutherford:  "it is still unclear how an ancestral bacterium evolved the capacity to split water."42  Jena Johnson, Woodward Fischer and colleagues:  "the processes that led to the evolution of biological water splitting have remained largely unknown."43  Cardona and colleagues in 2019:  "how and when one of these reaction centers evolved the capacity to oxidize water are questions that still remain to be answered."10

The proposals.  Several precursors have been proposed, each a simpler electron donor that a reaction centre could have oxidised before water.  Robert Blankenship and Hyman Hartman proposed hydrogen peroxide.  Their summary of what the change needs is short:  "Two major changes from a more primitive non-oxygen-evolving reaction center are required:  a charge-accumulating system and a reaction center pigment with a greater oxidizing potential."44  Charles Dismukes's group proposed bicarbonate and manganese-bicarbonate complexes.45  The proposal with the most work behind it is a reaction centre that oxidised dissolved manganese one electron at a time.  Cardona's group writes that "The earliest reaction center probably performed the light-driven one-electron oxidation of Mn2+ to Mn3+."42  On this view the manganese site came first as an electron source, and the cluster later learned to hold four charges and make oxygen.

The rock evidence for a manganese stage is disputed.  Johnson and colleagues found manganese enriched to about 17% by weight in South African drill cores just below the Great Oxidation Event, and argued that the original manganese oxides "were not produced by reactions with O2, which points to a different high-potential oxidant," supporting "a former transitional photosystem capable of single-electron oxidation reactions of Mn."43  CarriAyne Jones and Sean Crowe replied that oxygen was not ruled out, so "the conclusion that Mn-oxidizing photosynthesis produced the Koegas Mn deposits is highly tenuous."46  Then in 2019 Mirna Daye, Tanja Bosak and colleagues showed that a lake community of anoxygenic bacteria makes manganese oxides in light with no high-potential reaction centre at all.  Before their work, "modern microbes are not known to anaerobically oxidize manganese."47  Their green sulfur bacterium's reaction centre, at about +250 millivolts, "cannot directly oxidize Mn(II)-bicarbonate," and the activity needed a second species, by "a currently unknown mechanism."47  So manganese oxides in old rocks need not mean a manganese-oxidising photosystem, and no living organism has one.

Laboratories have built the first step.  Over nearly two decades the Arizona State group of JoAnn Williams and James Allen rebuilt the purple-bacterial reaction centre toward Photosystem II.

  • Adding hydrogen bonds to the chlorophyll pair raised its potential. The effects of single changes added up, giving potentials from 410 to 765 millivolts against 505 for the wild type, and the bacteria still grew by photosynthesis, "although at reduced rates relative to the wild type."16
  • Adding carboxylate side chains where Photosystem II holds its cluster made a site that binds one manganese ion. In the high-potential centres the bound manganese gives up an electron to the chlorophyll pair within milliseconds.36 The measured potential of that manganese, 625 millivolts at pH 9, sits below the potential the mutant centres reach, which runs to above 800 millivolts.48
  • In 2012 they reported that these centres, with six changes in the M8 version, turn superoxide into oxygen in light, "a light-driven enzymatic function."1313 The more oxidising centres "are not stable in the light unless they have a bound Mn."13

That is a real result.  It shows that a reaction centre from a bacterium that makes no oxygen can be given a manganese site and a stronger oxidant with a handful of changes, and that the manganese then does useful chemistry.  The authors draw the evolutionary lesson in the conditional:  such substitutions "would have provided a metal-binding site and consequently resulted in the production of molecular oxygen from any superoxide that was present at that time."13  Three limits matter.  The changes were chosen by people who knew the target.  The centre holds one manganese and moves one electron, not four.  And it does not oxidise water:  its strongest form, above 800 millivolts, is still about 400 millivolts short of P680.

A second line of engineering put a pair of manganese ions and a light-absorbing pigment into bacterioferritin, an iron-storage protein from E. coli, and light then oxidised the manganese pair.49  Its own designers' calculation puts the pigment's potential at "only 0.57 V, too low to oxidize tyrosine," and says that to "ultimately oxidize water" it would need "a value in excess of 0.8 V."50

Today's Photosystem II can make manganese oxide.  In 2020 Holger Dau's group stripped the cluster from spinach Photosystem II and gave it dissolved manganese in light.  It made particles of manganese oxide of 50 to 100 manganese ions each, bound to the protein.51  They propose that an ancestral photosystem made such oxides and that the particles were later "down-sized" to the four-manganese cluster.  They also write that "The evolutionary route towards the present water oxidation catalyst in PSII is much debated."51  The experiment used a modern photosystem, which already has P680's oxidising power.  It shows the chemistry such an ancestor would need is possible in that protein.  It does not show the ancestor.

What has not been done.  No laboratory has started from a reaction centre that cannot split water and evolved or engineered one that can.  No organism alive oxidises manganese with a photosystem.  The step from one manganese and one electron to four manganese, a calcium and four stored charges is described in the literature as possible, not shown.  Cardona's group:  "it is possible that early transitional forms were capable of some inefficient water oxidation, even with a mononuclear manganese cluster."42  Their 2023 review:  "It still remains unclear whether Mn2+ oxidation without water oxidation occurred as a transitional stage in the evolution of PSII."15

What this part shows.  The first step toward the cluster, a manganese site in a reaction centre with a stronger oxidant, has been built in the laboratory and does useful chemistry.  Every step after it is inferred from the structure of the finished machine.  On this point the creationist claim that no stepwise mechanism has been shown is correct, and the mainstream papers say the same thing in their own words.

Part 5: When, by the mainstream's own clocks

All dates in this part are the mainstream radiometric and molecular-clock figures under discussion.  Young-earth readers reject the time scale, and every position below is billions of years from a young earth.  The point here is how far the mainstream positions are from each other, and what each one assumes.

The range is wide.  Tanai Cardona wrote in 2018 that "When and how oxygenic photosynthesis originated remains a highly debated subject with dates ranging from 3.8 billion years (Ga) ... to shortly before 2.4 Ga."35  Kirschvink and Kopp give the same span, 3.8 to 2.2 billion years.1  The Imperial College review of 2023 says molecular clocks give "a range of dates spanning two billion years between 3.5 and 1.5 Ga."15

The late view.  Kirschvink and Kopp argue that oxygenic photosynthesis arose shortly before a global glaciation about 2.3 billion years ago and helped cause it.1  Patrick Shih, Woodward Fischer and colleagues dated the last common ancestor of today's photosynthetic cyanobacteria to "ca. 2.0 billion years ago (Ga), well after the rise of atmospheric dioxygen."52  Johnson's group, replying to critics, notes the catch in using such dates:  "the divergence time between cyanobacteria and other phyla is not synonymous with the origin of oxygenic photosynthesis"53

The early view.  Cardona's group dates the split of Photosystem II's two core proteins, D1 and D2, by how fast they have changed since.  They find that if reaction centres existed by 3.5 billion years ago, "the initial rate of evolution had to be about 40 times larger than that observed since the MRCA of Cyanobacteria."10  They grant the problem this raises:  "The much faster rates required to place the early stages of reaction center evolution ... in the Paleoarchean are difficult to reconcile with the structural complexity inherited by all known reaction centers."10  And they ask the reader to "interpret the reported age estimates as an approximation, as simulations of plausibility."10  The Photosystem I study assumes "that photochemical reaction centres originated in the early Archean" as an input to the clock.35  A 2021 follow-up says "The origin of oxygenic photosynthesis cannot be located on a species tree," and that "different datasets, calibration strategies, chosen clock parameters, and researchers' preferences can result in widely varying calculated rates."4141

The newest large clock.  Adrián Davín, Gergely Szöllősi and 18 colleagues dated the bacterial tree in 2025 and found that "aerobic metabolism likely pre-dated the GOE in the cyanobacterial ancestor, which may have facilitated the evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis."54  They add that "we cannot reject the possibility that oxygenic photosynthesis predated, or co-evolved with, aerobic metabolism in the cyanobacterial lineage."54  Several of its authors also wrote the 2017 Science paper on the non-photosynthetic relatives, so the two are not independent.

A rate that prices time.  Cardona's group also asked how fast D1 and D2 would have had to change if water splitting arose quickly after a reaction centre arrived by gene transfer.  If it took 100,000 years, the rate "would need to be more than 400 thousand amino acid changes per site per Ga, which is orders of magnitude greater than the rate of evolution of any known protein."10  If it took 100 million years, about 33 changes per site per billion years.  That is the mainstream's own reason for wanting a long time between the first reaction centre and water splitting.  It also shows why a fast evolutionary origin is not on offer from any side.  A young-earth account does not need one, since it holds that the photosystems were made, not evolved.

What this part shows.  The order of events is argued from gene trees and molecular clocks, and the clocks disagree by more than a billion years depending on calibration, rate model and which lineage is taken to be the first oxygen maker.  None of them observes the origin.  They are estimates of when, under the assumption that it happened by descent, and their own authors describe them as approximate.

Part 6: Pricing the first step

Only one route toward Photosystem II has its steps written down as specific changes:  the Arizona State group's M8 reaction centre, with three changes to strengthen the oxidant and three to build a manganese site.13  It is a laboratory design, not a proposed history, and nothing says nature took it.  But it is the one stated pathway with a count, so it is the one that can be priced against measured mutation rates and population sizes.

The count.  Six amino-acid changes need more than six DNA changes, because most of them cannot be made by changing one letter of the codon.  In the published gene sequences of the purple bacterium Rhodobacter sphaeroides, the three potential-raising changes each need at least two base changes, two of the three manganese-site changes need two, and the last needs one.  So the manganese site needs at least 5 base changes, the stronger oxidant 6, and M8 as a whole 11.55

The inputs.  The one measured mutation rate for a cyanobacterium is 3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰ per base per generation, from a three-year experiment on Prochlorococcus.56  The same study puts its effective population size, the number that sets how strongly chance drives the fate of a neutral change, at 1.68 × 10⁷.56  The census is far larger:  about 2.9 × 10²⁷ Prochlorococcus cells and 7 × 10²⁶ Synechococcus cells in today's oceans.57  Nobody knows the population size of a bacterium before oxygenic photosynthesis, so the calculation runs across that whole range.  It assumes one generation a day.

Three answers, depending on the steps.  How long the changes take depends almost entirely on whether each one helped its owner.

  1. If every change helped, by 1%, each spreads in turn. The 5 site changes take about 80 to 400 years, and all 11 about 170 to 870 years, across the range of population sizes.
  2. If every change was neutral and drifted to fixation one at a time, the time does not depend on population size, because a neutral change fixes at the rate it arises. The 5 site changes take about 54 million years and all 11 about 71 million years. This is a floor, since it ignores changes drifting back.
  3. If all the changes were needed together, with every partial state useless and at risk of being wrecked by other mutations, the right model is Michael Behe and David Snoke's. Their equations, recomputed here, reproduce their own printed figures to within about a factor of ten, erring low.5859 At the cyanobacterial mutation rate, the 5-base site takes about 29,000 years in a population the size of today's ocean cyanobacteria, about a million years in a population of 10²⁰, and about 10¹⁷ years, millions of times the age of the universe, in a population the size of Prochlorococcus's effective population. All 11 changes together take 10¹⁷ years even at the full census.

Which answer applies?  The laboratory results say something about this.  The changes that raise the potential are not neutral on their own:  the mutant bacteria grow more slowly, and the most oxidising centres "are not stable in the light unless they have a bound Mn."1613  So if this route was taken, the manganese site came first, and the potential-raising changes paid only if a bound manganese gave the cell some benefit.  The effect of the site changes alone on a living bacterium was not found reported.  The most favourable reading consistent with the data is that the 5 site changes drifted in as neutral changes over some tens of millions of years, and the 6 potential changes were then each favoured.  That fits easily inside the mainstream time scale.  The least favourable reading, all 11 needed at once, does not fit in any time scale.  Which reading is true has not been measured.

The limits of the price.  Behe and Snoke themselves warn that a result for one pathway says "little or nothing about the efficiency of other possible pathways," and that asking for one particular feature takes "a prospective stance ... but we look at modern proteins retrospectively."58  Many different sets of changes might make a manganese site, and the Arizona group found two different mutants that work.13  Michael Lynch, replying to Behe and Snoke, argued that with neutral intermediate steps such features "can go to completion with high probability on time scales of 10⁶ yr or less in populations >10⁶ in size."60  The wider argument over waiting times is in Haldane's Dilemma.

What cannot be priced.  Everything after the first manganese.  No paper proposes a sequence of protein states from a one-manganese centre to the four-manganese, one-calcium cluster with its two chlorides, the tyrosine relay, the outer proteins and an oxidant 400 millivolts stronger again.  Without a count of changes and a statement of which intermediates worked, there is nothing to price.  The creationist side has not proposed a count either.  This is the main gap in the evidence on both sides, and it is where a calculation would help most.

Part 7: What the rocks show, as order

Dates below are the mainstream radiometric ones, which young-earth geologists reject.  The order of the layers does not depend on the dates.  Whether the Precambrian rocks belong to Creation Week, the pre-Flood world or the Flood is tested in Stromatolites and Banded Iron Formations and The Earliest Evidence for Life, and is not argued again here.

Bottom:  air with almost no oxygen.  Sulfur in the older rocks carries an isotope pattern that forms only in sunlight acting on an atmosphere with almost no oxygen and no ozone.  Timothy Lyons and colleagues put the requirement at "probably less than 0.001% of the present atmospheric level."61  The pattern stops at the level called the Great Oxidation Event, about 2.4 billion years on the mainstream scale.

When oxygen production began is disputed.  Lyons and colleagues write that "Far more controversial is the timing of the first emergence of O2-producing photosynthesis, the source of essentially all oxygen in the atmosphere."61  The oldest chemical traces once credited to cyanobacteria did not survive testing.  A multilaboratory study with clean new cores concluded that "existing lipid biomarker evidence cannot be invoked to support the emergence of oxygenic photosynthesis and eukaryotes by ∼ 2.7 billion years ago."62  Birger Rasmussen and colleagues put the oldest fossil evidence for cyanobacteria at "approximately 2.15 Gyr ago," above the oxygen rise.63  The manganese evidence for earlier oxygen production, discussed in Part 4, is contested.

The young-earth claims about oxygen.  Swindell's statement that "there has never been a time in Earth's history when there was not significant free oxygen in the atmosphere" cites, among others, Blankenship's 2002 textbook.7  Blankenship says the opposite:  "Geological evidence strongly suggests that the atmosphere contained significant quantities of O2 by about 2.2 billion years ago," which "represents the latest date for the advent of oxygenic photosynthesis."9  Swindell's other cited source, Dimroth and Kimberley in 1976, argued from sediments before the sulfur-isotope evidence existed.  Oard's later reply to that evidence, that a laboratory reaction can make a similar sulfur pattern, is weighed in Stromatolites and Banded Iron Formations, which finds that it explains neither the ratio of the isotopes nor why the signal stops and never returns.

Swindell does point to a real puzzle.  Enzymes that use or detoxify oxygen are spread across the tree of life, which suggests they are older than oxygen-making photosynthesis.  Blankenship calls it "Another apparent paradox" and gives two answers:  "low levels of O2 and other reactive oxygen species were almost certainly produced on the early Earth by nonbiological processes, so even the earliest cells may have needed protection," or the protective enzymes arose after oxygenic photosynthesis and spread by gene transfer.9  Davín's 2025 clock also infers that the cyanobacterial ancestor used oxygen before the Great Oxidation Event.54  So the claim that the first oxygen would have killed the first oxygen makers is answered in principle by low background oxygen.  Neither side has priced how much protection the first oxygen makers needed, or how much oxygen was around.

What the order shows.  It shows an early atmosphere with almost no oxygen, then oxygen, with the oldest recognisable cyanobacterial fossils at or above the change.  That is the order the mainstream account predicts.  A young-earth account has to place that oxygen-free atmosphere somewhere in its history, and Patterson's statement that the "oxygen revolution" was never a condition life faced does not do so.25  The rocks cannot show how the machine arose.  They record its product, oxygen, and nothing about the protein that made it.

Part 8: Observed, inferred, assumed

Step Observed Inferred Assumed
Two photosystems in series, a four-manganese cluster, a repair cycle All of it: structures at near-atomic detail, flash experiments, measured turnover None None
Photosystem II is related to the purple bacteria's reaction centre About 17% of amino acids shared, same fold, same cofactor positions Descent from one ancestral protein None
Photosystem I is related to Photosystem II Similar shape A common ancestor That a shape match with no detectable sequence match reflects descent
Each kind of centre works alone Purple bacteria, green sulfur bacteria; Photosystem I alone in plants with Photosystem II blocked None None
Two kinds came together in one cell Gene transfer of Photosystem II genes between cyanobacteria and their viruses Merger, or duplication with loss elsewhere; each side has evidence A living or extinct organism with both under a switch, never found
Cyanobacteria's relatives never had, or lost, photosynthesis Their genomes lack the genes Late gain (Soo) or loss (Oliver), which contradict That gene absence reads the history correctly
A manganese-oxidising stage Engineered centres oxidise one manganese; modern Photosystem II without its cluster makes manganese oxide; a bacterial community oxidises manganese in light Old manganese deposits record it (disputed) That such an organism existed; none is known alive
One manganese to the four-manganese cluster that splits water The cluster assembles itself in light on the finished protein None The whole pathway. No intermediate is proposed in enough detail to test or price
When An oxygen-free atmosphere below an oxygenated one; cyanobacterial fossils at or above the change Clock dates from 3.5 to 1.5 billion years Clock calibrations, root ages and rate models, which their authors call approximate

The table shows where the evidence thins.  Everything about the finished machine is observed.  The kinship of its core to simpler reaction centres is a strong inference.  The path from a simple centre to a water-splitting one is assumed, apart from a first step built in the laboratory by design.

Objections and responses

1.  "Shared structure between Photosystem II and the purple-bacterial centre is common design, not common descent."  A designer could reuse a good fold, and a functional similarity fits both models.  The case for descent within the type II family rests on the amount of sequence shared, about 17%, together with features that do no job in the finished machine, such as the bacterial-type iron ligand that appears only in the half-built complex.  A design model can accept these after the fact.  It did not predict them, and no design writer found here has addressed them.

2.  "Swindell meant oxygenic photosynthesis, not photosynthesis in general.  For that, nothing works unless everything works."  That is the fairest reading, and in that form part of it holds:  taking electrons from water to NADP+ needs both photosystems.  But the claim was offered as a reason the system could not have been built in stages, and the stages proposed are each a working system:  one reaction centre alone, as in living bacteria, then two.  Even within Photosystem II, several outer proteins can be removed one at a time with growth continuing, and the cluster assembles itself on the protein.2123  What remains without a demonstrated stage is the cluster and the oxidant, which is a narrower claim than "nothing works."

3.  "The engineered reaction centres were designed.  They show intelligence, not evolution."  True of the changes, which were chosen.  The experiment tests whether a manganese site and a stronger oxidant can be added to this protein with few changes, and whether the result does anything useful.  Both answers were yes.  It does not show that blind mutation found those changes, and Part 6 shows that the answer to that depends on whether each change helped, which has not been measured.

4.  "Duplication followed by mutation can only lose information."  Purdom states this without a measure of information.  D1 and D2 are the test case if their common origin is granted:  they share about 29% of their sequence and do different jobs, since D1 holds the manganese cluster and D2 does not.310  Whether mutation made that difference cannot be observed now.  But "only lead to the loss of information" is a claim about what mutation can do, and it needs a definition of information and a calculation, neither of which Purdom gives.  The general question belongs to other articles in this series.

5.  "The closest relatives of cyanobacteria have no photosynthesis, so the machine just appeared."  Their genomes show that the machine is absent, not where it came from.  Soo's group reads the absence as a late gain by gene transfer, and the Imperial group reads it as loss.1241  On either reading, a gene-transfer donor or an ancestor with the machine is required, and neither has been found.  Hunter is right that the source is unknown.  He is wrong that gene transfer and fusion are "made up":  transfer of Photosystem II genes is observed today between cyanobacteria and their viruses.40

6.  "Water splitting could have evolved through a manganese-oxidising stage, which the rocks record."  Possibly.  The rock evidence is disputed by other geochemists, and a 2019 culture study showed that anoxygenic bacteria can make manganese oxides by another route.4647  No organism with a manganese-oxidising photosystem is known.  The proposal is a hypothesis with a laboratory proof of concept for its first step, not a demonstrated pathway.

7.  "Deep time makes any number of steps possible."  Not without selection.  If the 11 base changes of the engineered route each helped, they take centuries.  If each was neutral, tens of millions of years.  If none helped until all were present, Behe and Snoke's own model puts the time for the 5-change site beyond the age of the universe in any population smaller than about 10¹⁴, and beyond 100 million years in any smaller than about 10¹⁶.  For all 11 changes the threshold is about 10³⁴, above any census of living cyanobacteria.  So time alone settles nothing.  What matters is whether the intermediate steps were useful, and the only data on that, from the high-potential mutants, show some of them were harmful on their own.

8.  "The pricing uses an arbitrary pathway."  It uses the only pathway written down as specific changes, which is also the one closest to working.  Behe and Snoke warn that a price for one pathway says little about others, and Allen's group found two different working mutants.5813  Other routes may need fewer changes.  But nobody has written them down, and the creationist side has not proposed a count either.

9.  "Photosystem II wrecks itself every half hour.  A designer would not build it that way."  Rapson takes this feature as part of his design argument, and some critics take it as poor design.  The damage comes from the chemistry:  an oxidant strong enough to pull electrons from water will also oxidise the protein around it.  Whether a better design was possible is a question about chemistry neither side has answered.  The point matters here only because the repair cycle is part of what any origin account must produce.

10.  "The Great Oxidation Event is mainstream geology, so the young-earth side need not address it."  The young-earth side has to explain the rocks it accepts.  Rocks with the oxygen-free sulfur signal lie below rocks without it everywhere they have been studied.  Wood's 2025 abstract is right that a biblical model would need to address this.  None found here has.

Issues and unanswered questions

  1. No stepwise pathway from one manganese to the water-splitting cluster has been written down. A proposal would list the protein states in order, say which ones work, and give the changes between them. With that, the waiting times could be priced as Part 6 prices the first step. Neither the mainstream nor the creationist literature has one.
  2. The fitness of the intermediate steps is unmeasured. The pricing turns on whether a bacterium with only the manganese-site changes, or with one or two of the potential-raising changes, does better or worse than the wild type in light. The engineered strains exist. Competition experiments in light, with and without manganese, would answer it.
  3. The residue number of one engineered change is uncertain. Allen and colleagues print "Gly M188 to Asp," but residue M188 in the published sequence is an asparagine and M288 a glycine. The count of base changes is the same either way. Thielges 2005 and Kálmán 2011, which may give the residue, were read only in abstract.
  4. No living organism is known with an intermediate photosystem, whether a manganese-oxidising one, a homodimeric water splitter, or two photosystems under a switch. The mainstream accounts predict one may have existed. Finding one would settle much of this article.
  5. Merger or duplication is unresolved, and the reading of the non-photosynthetic relatives is contradictory: Soo's group says gained late, the Imperial group says lost.
  6. The dates rest on clocks whose authors call them approximate, and they span more than a billion years. The young-earth side has not engaged the clock papers at all.
  7. The young-earth literature has not addressed the molecular evidence. No creationist or design source found discusses the manganese cluster's origin, the engineered reaction centres, the Melainabacteria and Sericytochromatia, or the clocks. The newest young-earth treatment of the oxygen record found is a 2025 student abstract that asks the question without answering it.
  8. Errors in creationist sources need correcting at the source. ICR places oxygen release in the dark reactions, in Sherwin's articles of 2019 and 2023. ICR's "spontaneously begun 3.4 billion years ago" turns a Photosystem I duplication date into a claim about the origin of photosynthesis that no source makes. Swindell's "never a time" without significant oxygen contradicts the textbook he cites for it. Old-earth writer Hugh Ross's 2005 oxygen figures appear to come from a sulfate measurement in Kah and colleagues' 2004 paper, whose full text was not read.6465
  9. Some numbers rest on abstracts or reviews. The Photosystem I counts, the Soo 2017 and Shih 2017 claims, and the engineered-centre potentials come from abstracts. The +1.2 volt figure for P680 is a textbook estimate with no reference. The D1 half-life is from a mutant strain in dim light; the faster figure for wild cells in brighter light was reported as data not shown.
  10. The protection problem is not priced. How much oxygen-detoxifying capacity the first oxygen makers needed, and how much background oxygen there was, is argued in words on both sides.

Verdict

Is oxygenic photosynthesis irreducible, so that nothing works unless everything works?  The creationist argument is wrong as stated.  The two photosystems belong to families whose simpler members run photosynthesis alone in living bacteria, Photosystem I runs alone in plants when Photosystem II is blocked, several outer proteins of Photosystem II can be removed one at a time, and the manganese cluster assembles itself on its protein in light.  The kinship of Photosystem II's core with the purple bacteria's reaction centre is about as well supported as such inferences get.  What is true in Swindell's claim is narrower:  taking electrons all the way from water to NADP+ needs both photosystems and the cluster.

Has a stepwise route to the water-splitting machine been shown?  The creationist argument is right that it has not.  No living organism has an intermediate.  The laboratory has built the first step, a manganese site and a stronger oxidant added to a bacterial reaction centre by six designed changes, and it does useful chemistry, but it oxidises one manganese and not water.  Everything between that and the four-manganese cluster is inferred from the finished machine.  The mainstream papers say this themselves:  "it is still unclear how an ancestral bacterium evolved the capacity to split water."42  The first step can be priced, and the price ranges from centuries to longer than the age of the universe depending on whether each change helped, which has not been measured.  The rest cannot be priced because no one has written down its steps.

When, in which lineage, and by merger or duplication?  Unfinished on both sides.  The clocks disagree by more than a billion years, the reading of the cyanobacteria's non-photosynthetic relatives is contradictory, and the manganese evidence in old rocks is disputed.  The rocks give a clear order, an oxygen-free atmosphere followed by an oxygenated one, which the young-earth side has not yet placed in its history.  The young-earth claim that oxygen was always present contradicts the source cited for it.

Sources


  1. 1.

    Kirschvink, Joseph L., and Robert E. Kopp.  “Palaeoproterozoic ice houses and the evolution of oxygen-mediating enzymes: the case for a late origin of photosystem II.”  Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 363(1504):2755–2765.  2008.  A geobiology paper by a Caltech geologist and his former student arguing that oxygen-making photosynthesis arose late, close to a global glaciation dated about 2.3 billion years ago, and that the older chemical-fossil evidence for it can be explained otherwise.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 1a.

      Section When does geological evidence demand the presence of oxygenic photosynthesis?:  “It is hard to imagine a more dramatic step in biochemical evolution than the final tinkering with the manganese–calcium cluster in the oxygen-evolving complex of PSII that led to the splitting of water and the release of molecular O2.” ↩ ↩

    2. 1b.

      Section Abstract:  “Answers to the second problem are controversial and range from 3.8 to 2.2 Gyr ago.”  The second problem is "determining when oxygenic photosynthesis evolved." ↩ ↩ ↩

  2. 2.

    Martin, William F. et al.  “A physiological perspective on the origin and evolution of photosynthesis.”  FEMS Microbiology Reviews 42(2):205–231.  2018.  A long review by an evolutionary biochemist and two photosynthesis researchers that builds a step-by-step scenario from the first chlorophyll to two photosystems in series.  It is unusually plain about which steps rest on no observed organism.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 2a.

      Section Introduction:  “There is, however, no consensus concerning the physiological processes that mediated either transition.”  The two transitions are the origin of chlorophyll-based photosynthesis and the origin of oxygenic photosynthesis. ↩

    2. 2b.

      Section Origin of chlorophototrophy in cyanobacteria:  “there are no bacterial lineages known that branch immediately ancestral to cyanobacteria and that possess only one RC or some other 'primitive' form of photosynthesis.”  RC means reaction centre. ↩ ↩

    3. 2c.

      Section Type 1 RCs or type 2 RCs first?:  “The two types of RC are related at the level of structure (Schubert et al.1998; Allen 2005; Sadekar, Raymond and Blankenship 2006; Blankenship 2010; Cardona, Murray and Rutherford 2015), but with undetectable homology in amino acid sequence alignments. In anoxygenic photosynthesis, type 2 RCs support cyclic electron flow.” ↩ ↩

    4. 2d.

      Section A second photosystem, for what?:  “There are two main questions about the origin of two types of RCs: how and why? The former is much easier to answer than the latter.” ↩

    5. 2e.

      Section Two RCs and two entry points for sulfide:  “This would have generated the capacity for combined linear and cyclic electron transport, and two types of RC that could be differentially expressed to serve ATP synthesis or Fd reduction, as needed by the cell (Allen 2005).” ↩

    6. 2f.

      Section Origin of chlorophototrophy in cyanobacteria:  “In our view, designating new lineages such as Melainabacteria and Sericytochromatia and referring to them as ‘cyanobacteria’, is presently unsubstantiated.” ↩

  3. 3.

    Umena, Yasufumi et al.  “Crystal structure of oxygen-evolving photosystem II at a resolution of 1.9 Å.”  Nature 473:55–60.  2011.  The X-ray structure of Photosystem II from a heat-loving cyanobacterium at 1.9 Å, sharp enough to place every atom of the manganese-calcium cluster, its oxygen bridges and the water molecules bound to it.  The article uses it for the parts list of Photosystem II and for which amino acids hold the cluster.

    1. 3a.

      Section Structure of the Mn4CaO5-cluster:  “All of the remaining 5 carboxylate residues served as bidentate ligands, namely, D1-Asp170 as a bidentate ligand to Mn4 and Ca, D1-Glu333 to Mn3 and Mn4, D1-Asp342 to Mn1 and Mn2, D1-Ala344 (the C-terminal residue of D1) to Mn2 and Ca, and CP43-Glu354 to Mn2 and Mn3. In addition, D1-His332 is coordinated to Mn1”.  The sixth D1 ligand, Glu189, is given in the sentence before as "a monodentate ligand to Mn1."  The paper's Overall structure section counts 35 chlorophylls per monomer and 19 subunits seen, with a twentieth, PsbY, lost in purification. ↩ ↩ ↩

    2. 3b.

      Section Abstract:  “We found that 5 oxygen atoms served as oxo-bridges linking the 5 metal atoms, and 4 water molecules were bound to the Mn4CaO5-cluster”. ↩

    3. 3c.

      Section Structure of the Mn4CaO5-cluster:  “each of the 4 Mn atoms has 6 ligands, whereas the Ca atom has 7 ligands”. ↩

    4. 3d.

      Section Overall structure:  “In addition to the protein subunits, 35 chlorophylls, 2 pheophytins, 11 β-carotenes, more than 20 lipids, 2 plastoquinones, 2 heme irons, 1 non-heme iron, 4 Mn atoms, 3-4 Ca atoms (among which, 1 is in the Mn4Ca-cluster), 3 Cl- ions (among which, 2 are in the vicinity of the Mn4Ca-cluster)”.  Counts per monomer.  The abstract gives 20 subunits;  the same section reports 19 seen, with PsbY lost during purification. ↩

  4. 4.

    Jordan, Patrick et al.  “Three-dimensional structure of cyanobacterial photosystem I at 2.5 Å resolution.”  Nature 411:909–917.  2001.  The first near-atomic structure of Photosystem I, from a cyanobacterium.  The article uses its count of subunits and cofactors.

    1. 4a.

      Section Abstract:  “provides a picture at atomic detail of 12 protein subunits and 127 cofactors comprising 96 chlorophylls, 2 phylloquinones, 3 Fe4S4 clusters, 22 carotenoids, 4 lipids, a putative Ca2+ ion and 201 water molecules”. ↩ ↩

  5. 5.

    Zabret, Jure et al.  “Structural insights into photosystem II assembly.”  Nature Plants 7(4):524–538.  2021.  A cryo-electron-microscopy structure of a Photosystem II caught partway through assembly in a cyanobacterium, with three assembly proteins still bound.  It shows the core is built in modules and held in a protected state before the manganese cluster is put in.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 5a.

      Section Introduction:  “Thus far, >20 auxiliary proteins have been identified that guide the stepwise assembly of PSII subunits and cofactors via intermediate modules, which are assembled independently and then joined together to produce mature PSII”. ↩ ↩

    2. 5b.

      Section Abstract:  “replace the bicarbonate ligand of non-haem iron with glutamate, a structural motif found in reaction centres of non-oxygenic photosynthetic bacteria”. ↩ ↩

  6. 6.

    Nixon, Peter J. et al.  “Recent advances in understanding the assembly and repair of photosystem II.”  Annals of Botany 106(1):1–16.  2010.  A review by laboratories that study Photosystem II assembly in cyanobacteria and chloroplasts, covering the assembly intermediates, the named assembly factors and the cycle in which light-damaged complexes are repaired.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 6a.

      Section Abstract:  “The repair of PSII involves partial disassembly of the damaged complex, the selective replacement of the damaged sub-unit (predominantly the D1 sub-unit) by a newly synthesized copy, and reassembly.”  Section The PSII repair cycle:  “Because irreversible damage to PSII occurs at all light intensities, PSII repair is an important photoprotective mechanism in all oxygenic photosynthetic organisms”. ↩ ↩

  7. 7.

    Swindell, Rick.  “Shining light on the evolution of photosynthesis.”  Journal of Creation 17(3):74–84.  Dec 2003.  The fullest young-earth treatment of photosynthesis found, by a plant geneticist, in Creation Ministries International's journal and reprinted by Answers in Genesis.  It walks through chlorophyll synthesis, the two photosystems, the Calvin cycle and oxygen protection, and argues that the whole system had to arise at once and so was designed.  It does not discuss how the manganese cluster could have arisen.  Mirror:  Answersingenesis.org

    1. 7a.

      Page 74:  “The thesis of this paper is that evolution would not have been capable of generating the process of photosynthesis as it exists in cyanobacteria, green algae and higher plants, and that it must therefore have been intelligently designed.” ↩ ↩

    2. 7b.

      Page 76:  “PSII produces extremely strong oxidizing agents that can pull electrons out of water, but it is not capable of reducing NADP+ to NADPH. PSI produces extremely strong reducing agents that ultimately do the job of reducing ferredoxin and NADP+. Neither system does anything meaningful apart from the other, which is to say, nothing works unless everything works.” ↩ ↩ ↩ ↩

    3. 7c.

      Page 78:  “Evolutionists maintain that ground-state oxygen (3O2, a triplet state biradical) was not around when photosynthesis evolved. There is, however, considerable evidence that there has never been a time in Earth's history when there was not significant free oxygen in the atmosphere”.  Swindell's footnotes for this cite Dimroth and Kimberley 1976, three creationist and design books, and Blankenship's 2002 textbook. ↩ ↩ ↩

    4. 7d.

      Page 83:  “It defies common sense to imagine that the irreducible complexity of photosynthetic systems would have arisen according to evolutionary theory.” ↩

    5. 7e.

      Page 74:  “the appearance of ground state oxygen would have been lethal to the cell well before oxygen-disarming complexes evolved”. ↩

  8. 8.

    Hunter, Cornelius G.  “New Study on the Evolution of Photosynthesis — A "Very Advanced Capability".”  Evolution News (Discovery Institute).  Apr 6, 2017.  A commentary by a Discovery Institute fellow with a doctorate in biophysics on Soo and colleagues' 2017 finding that the closest relatives of cyanobacteria cannot photosynthesise.  It argues that the finding leaves the machinery with no known source and that gene transfer and fusion are invented to cover the gap.

    1. 8a.

      Paragraph beginning Not only are evolutionists forced:  “The problem is, from where did the photosynthesis come? It couldn’t have come from the purported common ancestor via descent, and it “just appeared” with this “very advanced capability.””  Paragraph beginning From where did the incredible battery:  “From where did the incredible battery of genes — that would just happen to team up and create the all-time incredible capability of photosynthesis — come?”  “just appeared” and “very advanced capability” are Hunter’s quotations of Robert Blankenship in a 2017 Inside Science news story. ↩ ↩

    2. 8b.

      Paragraph beginning This is absurd:  “Convergence, horizontal gene transfer, and fusion are all made up mechanisms to fix the problem that the scientific evidence contradicts evolutionary theory.” ↩

  9. 9.

    Blankenship, Robert E.  Molecular Mechanisms of Photosynthesis.  Blackwell Science, Oxford.  2002.  The standard graduate textbook on photosynthesis by a Washington University biochemist who has written widely on its evolution.  Swindell cites it for his oxygen argument.

    1. 9a.

      Page 134:  “Green sulfur bacteria have a single photosystem similar to photosystem 1, such that it can directly reduce ferredoxin and then NAD+ without the need for energy-dependent reverse electron flow.” ↩ ↩

    2. 9b.

      Page 143:  “Ferredoxin-catalyzed cyclic electron flow around photosystem 1 was first observed by Arnon and coworkers in 1954 (Arnon, 1984). It is readily activated if electron flow from photosystem 2 is cut off, for example with the inhibitor DCMU”.  On p. 144 Blankenship adds that in normal leaves cyclic flow is "at most a few percent under optimum conditions, but may increase dramatically under stress conditions." ↩ ↩

    3. 9c.

      Page 225:  “Geological evidence strongly suggests that the atmosphere contained significant quantities of O2 by about 2.2 billion years ago (Des Marais et al., 1992; Rye and Holland, 1998: Canfield et al., 2000). This represents the latest date for the advent of oxygenic photosynthesis. However, considerable evidence suggests that O2 evolution may have started significantly earlier, but that it took some time for free O2 to accumulate to significant levels in the atmosphere.” ↩ ↩

    4. 9d.

      Page 136:  “The major mode of electron transport in oxygenic photosynthetic organisms is non-cyclic electron transfer, in which water is oxidized to molecular oxygen and NADP+ is reduced to NADPH, driven by two sequential photoreactions in photosystems 2 and 1.” ↩

    5. 9e.

      Page 136:  “The minimum expected quantum requirement for this reaction is eight, with one photon absorbed by each photosystem for each electron transported through the chain.” ↩

    6. 9f.

      Page 113:  “The redox potential for the half-reaction shown in Eq. 6.8 is +0.82 V at pH 7, and is somewhat higher in the acidic environment in which water oxidation takes place.” ↩

    7. 9g.

      Pages 113–114:  “In order to oxidize water, it is essential that an even stronger oxidant be available. This is provided by the oxidized reaction center chlorophyll P680+, which has a redox potential estimated to be as high as +1.2 V.”  The book gives no reference for the figure. ↩

    8. 9h.

      Page 114:  “The chemistry of water oxidation is inherently a four-electron process, as four electrons must be extracted to make a single molecule of oxygen. The photochemistry of the reaction center takes place one electron at a time, so there is a serious mismatch between the intrinsic chemistries of these two processes.” ↩

    9. 9i.

      Page 226:  “Another apparent paradox is the discovery that enzyme systems that either use O2, such as various oxidases, or protect against its reactive by-products, such as superoxide or hydrogen peroxide, are found widely distributed throughout the tree of life.”  “There are two possible explanations for this apparent paradox. First, low levels of O2 and other reactive oxygen species were almost certainly produced on the early Earth by nonbiological processes, so even the earliest cells may have needed protection from these toxic species. Second, the ability to use and cope with oxygen species is such a huge advantage for any life form that early enzyme systems that developed in response to the advent of oxygenic photosynthesis may have been very widely disseminated by lateral gene transfer.” ↩

  10. 10.

    Cardona, Tanai et al.  “Early Archean origin of Photosystem II.”  Geobiology 17(2):127–150.  2019.  A molecular-clock study of the core proteins of all type II reaction centres, oxygenic and not, that puts the first water-splitting photosystem far earlier than the cyanobacteria.  The authors say the dates are approximate and that the early rates they require are hard to square with the proteins' structure.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 10a.

      Section Introduction:  “There is no doubt that D1, D2, L, and M share a common origin”.  Section 2.1 Change in sequence identity as a function of time:  “Any standard D1 or D2 shares on average 17% sequence identity with any L or M. The level of sequence identity falls well below 10% if any Type II reaction center protein is compared with any Type I reaction center protein”.  D1 and D2 are the core of Photosystem II;  L and M are the core of the purple bacteria's reaction centre. ↩ ↩

    2. 10b.

      Section Introduction:  “How and when Type II reaction centers diversified, and how and when one of these reaction centers evolved the capacity to oxidize water are questions that still remain to be answered.” ↩

    3. 10c.

      Section 2.3 Rates of evolution:  “Therefore, if Type II reaction centers had evolved by 3.5 Ga, to account for the divergence of D1 and D2 in one billion years, the initial rate of evolution had to be about 40 times larger than that observed since the MRCA of Cyanobacteria.” ↩

    4. 10d.

      Section 3.3 Rates of evolution:  “The much faster rates required to place the early stages of reaction center evolution (including the D0 duplication) in the Paleoarchean are difficult to reconcile with the structural complexity inherited by all known reaction centers.” ↩

    5. 10e.

      Section 3.2 Bayesian relaxed molecular clock analysis:  “Therefore, the reader should interpret the reported age estimates as an approximation, as simulations of plausibility, and as a tool to distinguish between competing hypotheses.” ↩

    6. 10f.

      Section 2.3 Rates of evolution:  “and this transferred reaction center evolved standard levels of oxygen evolution within one hundred thousand years (ΔT = 0.1 Ma), then ν max would need to be more than 400 thousand amino acid changes per site per Ga, which is orders of magnitude greater than the rate of evolution of any known protein (Table 3). If ΔT is hypothesized to be 100 Ma instead, this would require a ν max of about 33 amino acid substitutions per site per Ga”. ↩

    7. 10g.

      Section 2.1 Change in sequence identity as a function of time:  “As a result of this common ancestry, any standard D1 shares on average about 29% sequence identity with any D2 across their entire sequence.”  Of the seven amino acids that hold the manganese cluster, six are on D1 and one on CP43;  none is on D2 (Umena 2011). ↩

  11. 11.

    Di Rienzi, Sara C. et al.  “The human gut and groundwater harbor non-photosynthetic bacteria belonging to a new candidate phylum sibling to Cyanobacteria.”  eLife 2:e01102.  2013.  Whole genomes rebuilt from human gut and groundwater DNA, which revealed the Melainabacteria, a group that branches beside the cyanobacteria and carries no photosynthetic genes.  The authors infer that cyanobacteria gained oxygenic photosynthesis after the two lines split.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 11a.

      Section Discussion:  “We infer that this capacity did not arise prior to the divergence of Melainabacteria from Cyanobacteria, based on the absence of remnants of photosynthetic machinery in the Melainabacteria genomes.” ↩ ↩

  12. 12.

    Soo, Rochelle M. et al.  “On the origins of oxygenic photosynthesis and aerobic respiration in Cyanobacteria.”  Science 355(6332):1436–1440.  2017.  A genome study of 41 uncultured relatives of the cyanobacteria, which added a second non-photosynthetic group, the Sericytochromatia, branching below the Melainabacteria.  It is the main paper for the view that photosynthesis came into the cyanobacterial line late, by gene transfer.

    1. 12a.

      Section Abstract:  “All members of the Melainabacteria and Sericytochromatia lack photosynthetic machinery, indicating that phototrophy was not an ancestral feature of the Cyanobacteria and that Oxyphotobacteria acquired the genes for photosynthesis relatively late in cyanobacterial evolution.” ↩ ↩ ↩

  13. 13.

    Allen, James P. et al.  “Light-driven oxygen production from superoxide by Mn-binding bacterial reaction centers.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109(7):2314–2318.  2012.  A laboratory study from the Arizona State group that has spent two decades redesigning the reaction centre of the purple bacterium Rhodobacter sphaeroides to resemble Photosystem II.  Their mutant centres, given a stronger oxidant and a manganese site, turn superoxide into oxygen in light.  None of them oxidises water.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 13a.

      Section Materials and Methods:  “The Mn-binding mutant M8 has three changes near P to increase the oxidation/reduction potential, Leu L131 to His, Leu M160 to His, and Phe M197 to His, and three changes that create the Mn-binding site, Arg M164 to Tyr, Met M168 to Glu, and Gly M188 to Asp.”  P is the pair of bacteriochlorophylls that gives up an electron when light strikes.  In the published sequence of the Rhodobacter sphaeroides M protein, residue 188 is an asparagine and residue 288 is a glycine, so "M188" may be a misprint for M288. ↩ ↩ ↩

    2. 13b.

      Section Abstract:  “Unlike wild-type reaction centers, the highly oxidizing reaction centers are not stable in the light unless they have a bound Mn.” ↩ ↩ ↩

    3. 13c.

      Section Abstract:  “In this paper, the Mn-binding reaction centers are shown to have a light-driven enzymatic function; namely, the ability to convert superoxide into molecular oxygen.” ↩

    4. 13d.

      Section Results and Discussion:  “The incorporation of appropriate metal ligands through a few amino acid substitutions that were similar to those in the Mn-binding reaction centers would have provided a metal-binding site and consequently resulted in the production of molecular oxygen from any superoxide that was present at that time.” ↩

    5. 13e.

      Section Results and Discussion:  “The ability of two different mutants, the M2 and M8 mutants, to bind Mn and produce molecular oxygen with very similar reaction parameters suggests a flexibility in the amino acid substitutions that gave rise to metal binding and activity.” ↩ ↩

  14. 14.

    Bao, Han, and Robert L. Burnap.  “Photoactivation: The Light-Driven Assembly of the Water Oxidation Complex of Photosystem II.”  Frontiers in Plant Science 7:578.  2016.  A review of photoactivation, the process by which light assembles the manganese-calcium cluster from loose manganese and calcium ions on an empty Photosystem II, by one of the laboratories that measures it.

    1. 14a.

      Page 4:  “The quantum efficiency of photoactivation is very low, typically in the range of ∼1%, which is much lower than for photosynthetic water oxidation in the assembled PSII (>90%) even in intact systems”. ↩ ↩

    2. 14b.

      Pages 1–2:  “This involves the oxidative assembly of Mn2+ and Ca2+ ions into the coordination environment of the PSII water-oxidation complex (WOC) in a light-driven process called photoactivation”. ↩

  15. 15.

    Oliver, Thomas et al.  “The Evolution and Evolvability of Photosystem II.”  Annual Review of Plant Biology 74:225–257.  2023.  A review by the Imperial College group that argues Photosystem II and water splitting are very old, older than the cyanobacteria.  It is the best statement of the early-origin view, and it is candid about how weak the dating is.

    1. 15a.

      Section 3. Origin of Photosystem II and water oxidation:  “molecular clock studies have provided a range of dates spanning two billion years between 3.5 and 1.5 Ga”. ↩ ↩

    2. 15b.

      Section 3. Origin of Photosystem II and water oxidation:  “It still remains unclear whether Mn2+ oxidation without water oxidation occurred as a transitional stage in the evolution of PSII”. ↩

  16. 16.

    Lin, Xiaomei et al.  “Specific alteration of the oxidation potential of the electron donor in reaction centers from Rhodobacter sphaeroides.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 91(22):10265–10269.  1994.  The site-directed mutagenesis study that first raised the oxidising power of the purple bacterial reaction centre by adding hydrogen bonds to its chlorophyll pair, the starting point for the later manganese designs.  The mutants still grew by photosynthesis, more slowly than the wild type.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 16a.

      Section Abstract:  “Midpoint potentials ranging from 410 to 765 mV, compared with 505 mV for wild type, were achieved by various combinations of mutations.”  “The mutants were still capable of photosynthetic growth, although at reduced rates relative to the wild type.” ↩ ↩ ↩

  17. 17.

    Cox, Nicholas et al.  “Current Understanding of the Mechanism of Water Oxidation in Photosystem II and Its Relation to XFEL Data.”  Annual Review of Biochemistry 89:795–820.  2020.  A review by spectroscopists at the Max Planck Institute for Chemical Energy Conversion and the Australian National University of how the manganese cluster steps through its oxidation states, drawing on X-ray free-electron-laser snapshots.

    1. 17a.

      Section Abstract:  “a protein-bound Mn4CaOx complex, which passes through ≥5 intermediate states in the water-splitting cycle”. ↩

  18. 18.

    Dasgupta, Jyotishman et al.  “Photoassembly of the water-oxidizing complex in photosystems.”  Coordination Chemistry Reviews 252(3–4):347–360.  2008.  A review from G. Charles Dismukes's laboratory at Princeton of how the manganese-calcium cluster is assembled, in the test tube and in the cell, and of what each ion and protein contributes.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 18a.

      Section 2.2.2. Calcium:  “If Ca2+ is left out of the solution, binding and photooxidation of many more Mn2+ occurs (up to 20) to the apo-WOC-PSII protein and no O2 evolution activity is observable”.  Section 2.3.3 Chloride ion:  “However, it should be stated that it is an essential cofactor, both for the O2 activity of the native enzyme, and for photoactivation yield”. ↩ ↩

    2. 18b.

      Section 1.3.1. Protein Assembly:  “This cleavage is essential for the assembly of the Mn4Ca-core and, hence, oxygen evolution.”  The cleavage removes a tail beyond Ala344 at the end of D1;  the enzyme that does it is called CtpA. ↩

    3. 18c.

      Section 1.3.1. Protein Assembly:  “Loss of PSII activity by photoinhibition occurs as often as every 15-30 minutes under normal solar flux conditions.”  “Since D1 appears to supply most of the protein-derived ligands to the Mn4Ca, the frequency of in vivo photoactivation must follow the D1 protein repair rate.” ↩ ↩

    4. 18d.

      Section 2.3.2 Bicarbonate ion:  “Bicarbonate ions efficiently replace alkaline pH buffers by accelerating the rate of photoactivation, while increasing the yield of reactivated centers.”  Section 2.4 Role of protein subunits in assembly:  “The peripheral protein subunits including the manganese stabilizing protein (MSP) have been shown to play an important role in the rate and quantum yield of photoactivation in vivo.” ↩

    5. 18e.

      Section 1.3.1. Protein Assembly:  “the CP47RC sub-complex lacking only CP43 can be photoactivated, although the O2 evolution rate is 20% that of photoactivated PSII membranes and highly unstable”. ↩

  19. 19.

    Liu, Haijun et al.  “Structure of cyanobacterial phycobilisome core revealed by structural modeling and chemical cross-linking.”  Science Advances 7(2):eaba5743.  2021.  A model of the core of the cyanobacterial light-harvesting antenna, built from chemical cross-linking and homology modelling.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 19a.

      Section Introduction:  “PBSs, with a molecular mass range of 5 to 20 MDa, are located on the cytoplasmic side”. ↩

  20. 20.

    Liu, Zhenfeng et al.  “Crystal structure of spinach major light-harvesting complex at 2.72 Å resolution.”  Nature 428:287–292.  2004.  The X-ray structure of the main light-harvesting protein of plants, from spinach.

    1. 20a.

      Section Abstract:  “The 14 chlorophylls (Chl) in each monomer can be unambiguously distinguished as eight Chla and six Chlb molecules.” ↩

  21. 21.

    Zhang, Miao et al.  “Structural insights into the light-driven auto-assembly process of the water-oxidizing Mn4CaO5-cluster in photosystem II.”  eLife 6:e26933.  2017.  A crystal structure of Photosystem II with its manganese cluster chemically removed, and an attempt to rebuild the cluster inside the crystals.  Only partial rebuilding at two of the five metal sites was seen.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 21a.

      Section Abstract:  “Surprisingly, cluster-removal leaves the positions of all coordinating amino acid residues and most nearby water molecules largely unaffected, resulting in a pre-organized ligand shell for kinetically competent and error-free photo-assembly of the Mn4CaO5-cluster.” ↩ ↩

  22. 22.

    Yao, Danny C. I. et al.  “Photosystem II component lifetimes in the cyanobacterium Synechocystis sp. strain PCC 6803.”  Journal of Biological Chemistry 287(1):682–692.  2012.  A labelling study that measured how long each Photosystem II protein lasts in a cyanobacterium, by feeding heavy nitrogen and following it by mass spectrometry.  The strain lacked Photosystem I and was grown in dim light, so the rates are not those of a wild cell in sunlight.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 22a.

      Section PSII Protein and Chlorophyll Turnover:  “PSII proteins have very different half-life times ranging from 1.5 to 33 h.”  “The fast turnover of D1 in the PSII complex (5-20 times faster than turnover rates of the other PSII proteins) poses a challenge for the PSII complex as D1 is a central part rather than a peripheral part of the complex.”  Table 2:  D1 lasts 1.5 hours in the post-exponential cultures and, by the table's footnote, 1 hour in exponential growth. ↩

  23. 23.

    Arshad, Fatima, and Julian J. Eaton-Rye.  “Indirect interactions involving the PsbM or PsbT subunits and the PsbO, PsbU and PsbV proteins stabilize assembly and activity of Photosystem II in Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803.”  Photosynthesis Research 160(2–3):61–75.  2024.  A deletion study in a cyanobacterium that removed the outer Photosystem II proteins one at a time and in pairs with small subunits, and measured growth, assembly and oxygen output.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 23a.

      Section Results:  “In agreement with previous studies, removal of the extrinsic proteins in the wild-type background did not prevent growth”.  “The doubling times for the wild type and the ∆PsbU strain were similar (~ 12 h), although the growth of ∆PsbU cells slowed after 48 h. In addition, the doubling time was extended to 16 h for ∆PsbV cells and ~ 19 h for the ∆PsbO mutant.” ↩ ↩

  24. 24.

    Shen, Jian-Ren et al.  “An independent role of cytochrome c-550 in cyanobacterial photosystem II as revealed by double-deletion mutagenesis of the psbO and psbV genes in Synechocystis sp. PCC 6803.”  Biochemistry 34(39):12661–12668.  1995.  A deletion study that removed two outer Photosystem II proteins at once from a cyanobacterium, after earlier work had removed each alone.

    1. 24a.

      Section Abstract:  “Deletion of either of the two components has been shown to result in cyanobacterial phenotypes that are still capable of photoautotrophic growth albeit with a reduced rate.”  “The resultant double-deletion mutant was unable to grow photoautotrophically and showed almost no oxygen-evolving activity (less than 10% of the wild type).” ↩

  25. 25.

    Patterson, Roger.  “The Origin of Microorganisms.”  Evolution Exposed: Biology (Answers in Genesis).  Mar 29, 2007.  A chapter of Answers in Genesis's guide to biology textbooks, with annotated reading on each claim.  Its section on photosynthesis summarises Swindell 2003.

    1. 25a.

      Section 6:5:  “The evolution of photosynthesis appears to be an impossible process as the intermediate products are toxic to the cell.” ↩

    2. 25b.

      Section 6:5:  “If photosynthesis was present from the beginning, the “oxygen revolution” was never a condition that evolving life had to deal with. Having been created by God, life on earth was already equipped to deal with such issues.” ↩ ↩

  26. 26.

    Answers in Genesis.  “The Origin of Photosynthesis.”  Answers in Genesis Kids.  Jul 25, 2016.  A short unsigned page for children stating the young-earth position on photosynthesis.

    1. 26a.

      “From a biblical perspective, we understand that God created the various plant kinds with the ability to photosynthesize from the beginning.” ↩

  27. 27.

    Sherwin, Frank.  “Chloroplast Construction Reflects Creation.”  Institute for Creation Research.  Oct 26, 2023.  A science news article by a science writer at the Institute for Creation Research on chloroplast biology and the creation of plants on Day 3.

    1. 27a.

      “The light-independent stage (the so called dark phase) that produces sugar (via PGAL) and life-giving oxygen.”  “They maintain that God created plants on Day 3 of creation with all of their structures (e.g. chloroplasts) and metabolic processes complete and fully functioning.” ↩ ↩

  28. 28.

    Purdom, Georgia.  “Origin of Photosynthesis.”  Answers in Depth (Answers in Genesis) 2.  May 16, 2007.  A commentary by Answers in Genesis's molecular geneticist on John Allen and William Martin's 2007 Nature essay on the origin of oxygenic photosynthesis.

    1. 28a.

      Section Photosynthesis in plants and bacteria:  “No mechanism is provided for how the photosystems came into existence, just that “these genes arose” for one photosystem.” ↩

    2. 28b.

      Section Photosynthesis in plants and bacteria:  “What is needed is new information to form another photosystem, not duplication of already present genes followed by mutation. This will only lead to the loss of information.”  “A good question to pose here is what is the selection pressure to keep both photosystems in a bacterium if one is sufficient?” ↩

  29. 29.

    Oard, Michael J.  “Did the early Earth's atmosphere contain oxygen?”  Journal of Creation 24(1).  2010.  A short Journal of Creation report by a young-earth meteorologist arguing that the evidence for an oxygen-free early atmosphere is weaker than claimed.

    1. 29a.

      “can be caused by reactions between powders of amino acids and sulfate at temperatures between 150 and 200°C. So, the deduction from sulfur isotopes is now equivocal.”  Oard is citing Watanabe, Farquhar and Ohmoto, Science 324:370–373, 2009. ↩

  30. 30.

    Wood, Johanna.  “Banded Iron Formations: What Are They, and Why Should We Care?”  Proceedings of the 2025 New Scholars International Conference on Creationism.  2025.  A student poster abstract from Cedarville University reviewing recent work on banded iron formations and asking what a biblical model of them would have to explain.

    1. 30a.

      Section Abstract:  “Also, issues such as the BIFs’ disappearance in the Phanerozoic, their ambiguous formation mechanisms, microbial roles, and the GOE’s validity in earth history would also need to be addressed in a thorough Biblical model.” ↩

  31. 31.

    Ross, Hugh.  “Photosynthesis Is Not Enough.”  Reasons to Believe.  Sep 21, 2008.  A short article by the astronomer who founded the old-earth ministry Reasons to Believe, accepting the mainstream timing of early photosynthesis and the Great Oxidation Event and arguing that the oxygenation needed divine action.

    1. 31a.

      “Thanks to the many supernatural interventions on the part of the Creator, all these conditions were met and the Great Oxygenation Event did indeed occur.” ↩

  32. 32.

    Rapson, Trevor D.  “Examining Photosynthesis Through the Lens of Natural Theology.”  The ISCAST Journal.  Feb 16, 2026.  An essay by a CSIRO bioinorganic chemist for a Christian science fellowship, which accepts the evolutionary history of Photosystem II and argues for design from its precision and its constant self-destruction and repair.

    1. 32a.

      Section Introduction:  “First, PS II exhibits remarkable fine-tuning at a sub-nanometre scale: each atom is precisely positioned. Second, despite this exquisite design, PS II is irreversibly damaged in the very act of splitting water, requiring continual replacement.” ↩

  33. 33.

    Blankenship, Robert E., and A. L. M. Haffa.  “Why Do We Need to Teach the Evolution of Photosynthesis?”  Photosynthesis. Energy from the Sun: 14th International Congress on Photosynthesis.  Springer.  2008.  A conference paper, co-written by a leading photosynthesis researcher, on teaching the evolution of photosynthesis against intelligent-design criticism.

    1. 33a.

      Section Abstract:  “Photosynthesis is a process that has been portrayed in ID literature as irreducibly complex in those aspects that are not well understood, and elegant by design in those that are.” ↩

  34. 34.

    Sherwin, Frank.  “Photosynthesis Continues to Amaze.”  Institute for Creation Research.  Mar 14, 2019.  A science news article by a science writer at the Institute for Creation Research presenting photosynthesis as designed and its evolution as conjecture.

    1. 34a.

      “The light-independent stage (the dark phase) that produces the sugars. Interestingly, one of the waste products of photosynthesis is oxygen.” ↩

    2. 34b.

      “Evolutionists are left with hypothesis and conjecture in suggesting that this complex process may have spontaneously begun 3.4 billion years ago.”  His footnote cites a 2018 Astrobiology Magazine story, a repost of an Elsevier press release about Cardona 2018. ↩

  35. 35.

    Cardona, Tanai.  “Early Archean origin of heterodimeric Photosystem I.”  Heliyon 4(3):e00548.  2018.  A dating study of the gene duplication that made the two core proteins of Photosystem I, using their sequence identity and a relaxed molecular clock with an early Archean root assumed.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 35a.

      Section Introduction:  “I show that this duplication event is likely to have happened before 3.4 Ga, which is consistent with an early Archean origin of water oxidation.” ↩

    2. 35b.

      Section Introduction:  “When and how oxygenic photosynthesis originated remains a highly debated subject with dates ranging from 3.8 billion years (Ga) [1, 2] to shortly before 2.4 Ga [3, 4], the onset of the Great Oxidation Event (GOE).” ↩

    3. 35c.

      Section Bayesian relaxed molecular clock analysis:  “that photochemical reaction centres originated in the early Archean”. ↩

  36. 36.

    Thielges, Megan et al.  “Design of a redox-linked active metal site: manganese bound to bacterial reaction centers at a site resembling that of photosystem II.”  Biochemistry 44(20):7389–7394.  2005.  The Arizona State group's first manganese-binding purple-bacterial reaction centre, made by adding carboxylate side chains where Photosystem II's cluster sits.  The bound manganese gives an electron to the oxidised chlorophyll pair.

    1. 36a.

      Section Abstract:  “Although evolutionarily related to photosystem II, bacterial reaction centers lack both a strong oxidant and a manganese cluster for mediating the multielectron and proton transfer needed for water oxidation.” ↩

    2. 36b.

      Section Abstract:  “For the highest-affinity mutant, a first-order rate with a lifetime of 12 ms was observed for the reduction of the oxidized bacteriochlorophyll dimer by the bound manganese”.  “the binding site contains a single bound manganese ion, three carboxylate groups (including two groups introduced by mutagenesis), a histidine residue, and a bound water molecule.” ↩

  37. 37.

    Allen, John F.  “A redox switch hypothesis for the origin of two light reactions in photosynthesis.”  FEBS Letters 579(5):963–968.  2005.  A hypothesis paper by a London plant biochemist proposing that the two photosystems first existed in one lineage, expressed one at a time, before a mutation let both run together.

    1. 37a.

      Section Abstract:  “In such cells, living examples of which are predicted, the two photosystems are isoenzymes encoded by orthologous genes under co-ordinated, redox regulatory control.”  “It is further proposed that the origin of oxygen-evolving photosynthesis was a simple mutation that disabled the redox switch, permitting simultaneous expression of the two sets of genes.” ↩

  38. 38.

    Sousa, Filipa L. et al.  “Chlorophyll biosynthesis gene evolution indicates photosystem gene duplication, not photosystem merger, at the origin of oxygenic photosynthesis.”  Genome Biology and Evolution 5(1):200–216.  2013.  A phylogenetic study of the genes that build chlorophyll, used to choose between the merger and duplication accounts of how cyanobacteria came to have two photosystems.  It favours duplication followed by loss in other lineages.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 38a.

      Section Abstract:  “1) RCI and RCII are related via lineage divergence among anoxygenic photosynthetic bacteria and became merged in cyanobacteria via an event of large-scale lateral gene transfer (also called “fusion” theories) or 2) the two RC types are related via gene duplication in an ancestral, anoxygenic but protocyanobacterial phototroph”.  “no dichotomy of chlorophyll biosynthesis genes into RCI- and RCII-specific chlorophyll biosynthetic clades”. ↩ ↩

  39. 39.

    Mulkidjanian, Armen Y. et al.  “The cyanobacterial genome core and the origin of photosynthesis.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 103(35):13126–13131.  2006.  A comparison of 15 cyanobacterial genomes with those of other photosynthetic bacteria, which identified about 1,054 protein families shared by nearly all cyanobacteria and proposed that photosynthesis began in an anoxygenic ancestor of the cyanobacteria and spread to other groups by gene transfer.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 39a.

      Section Evolution of Photosynthesis and Lateral Gene Transfer:  “The propensity of photosynthetic genes to be laterally transferred between distantly related organisms makes identification of the lineage that was the first to develop chlorophyll-based photosynthesis particularly challenging.” ↩

  40. 40.

    Sullivan, Matthew B. et al.  “Prevalence and Evolution of Core Photosystem II Genes in Marine Cyanobacterial Viruses and Their Hosts.”  PLOS Biology 4(8):e234.  2006.  A survey of 42 viruses of ocean cyanobacteria, 88% of which carry the gene for the D1 protein of Photosystem II, with gene trees tracing how those genes moved between viruses and hosts.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 40a.

      Page 1344, section Abstract:  “Collectively, these findings show that photosynthesis genes are common in cyanophages and that significant genetic exchanges occur from host to phage, phage to host, and within the phage gene pool.” ↩ ↩

  41. 41.

    Oliver, Thomas et al.  “Time-resolved comparative molecular evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis.”  Biochimica et Biophysica Acta (BBA) - Bioenergetics 1862(6):148400.  2021.  A molecular-clock comparison of the gene duplications inside Photosystem II with those of ATP synthase, RNA polymerase and the ribosome, from the Imperial College group that argues for an early origin of water splitting.  The authors say it is not meant to give an exact date.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 41a.

      Section Highlights:  “The origin of oxygenic photosynthesis cannot be located on a species tree.”  “Vampirovibrionia, Sericytochromatia and Margulisbacteria lost photosynthesis.” ↩ ↩ ↩

    2. 41b.

      Section Origin of oxygenic photosynthesis and rates of evolution:  “This work was not explicitly aimed at providing an exact time of origin for the LUCA, the MRCA of Cyanobacteria, or the origin of photosynthesis. The use of different datasets, calibration strategies, chosen clock parameters, and researchers' preferences can result in widely varying calculated rates, which can translate into disparate estimated ages”. ↩

  42. 42.

    Cardona, Tanai et al.  “Origin and evolution of water oxidation before the last common ancestor of the Cyanobacteria.”  Molecular Biology and Evolution 32(5):1310–1328.  2015.  A comparison of D1 protein sequences across cyanobacteria and the related bacterial reaction centres, which sorts D1 into four groups and argues that water splitting arose before the last common ancestor of living cyanobacteria.  It gives no dates.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 42a.

      Section Introduction:  “it is still unclear how an ancestral bacterium evolved the capacity to split water”. ↩ ↩

    2. 42b.

      Section Evolution of the D1 Proteins of Photosystem II:  “The earliest reaction center probably performed the light-driven one-electron oxidation of Mn2+ to Mn3+.” ↩

    3. 42c.

      Section Evolution of the D1 Proteins of Photosystem II:  “Nevertheless, it is possible that early transitional forms were capable of some inefficient water oxidation, even with a mononuclear manganese cluster, and even perhaps in the ancestral homodimeric Photosystem II.” ↩

  43. 43.

    Johnson, Jena E. et al.  “Manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis before the rise of cyanobacteria.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110(28):11238–11243.  2013.  A geochemical study of manganese-rich drill cores from South Africa, dated just before the Great Oxidation Event, using X-ray spectroscopy and sulfur isotopes to argue that the manganese was oxidised without free oxygen, by a manganese-oxidising photosystem.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 43a.

      Section Abstract:  “the processes that led to the evolution of biological water splitting have remained largely unknown”. ↩

    2. 43b.

      Section Abstract:  “reveal that the original Mn-oxide phases were not produced by reactions with O2, which points to a different high-potential oxidant.”  “provide strong support for the hypothesis that the water-oxidizing complex of photosystem II evolved from a former transitional photosystem capable of single-electron oxidation reactions of Mn”.  The abstract reports manganese enrichments up to about 17% by weight. ↩

  44. 44.

    Blankenship, Robert E., and Hyman Hartman.  “The origin and evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis.”  Trends in Biochemical Sciences 23(3):94–97.  1998.  A short review proposing that a reaction centre first oxidised hydrogen peroxide before it could oxidise water.

    1. 44a.

      Section Abstract:  “Two major changes from a more primitive non-oxygen-evolving reaction center are required: a charge-accumulating system and a reaction center pigment with a greater oxidizing potential.” ↩

  45. 45.

    Dismukes, G. Charles et al.  “The origin of atmospheric oxygen on Earth: The innovation of oxygenic photosynthesis.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98(5):2170–2175.  2001.  A thermodynamic and laboratory argument that bicarbonate and manganese-bicarbonate complexes were easier electron sources than water for an early reaction centre.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 45a.

      Section Abstract:  “We propose that bicarbonate was the thermodynamically preferred reductant before water in the evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis.” ↩

  46. 46.

    Jones, CarriAyne, and Sean A. Crowe.  “No evidence for manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110(44):E4118.  2013.  A letter by two geochemists disputing Johnson and colleagues' rate calculations and arguing that low levels of oxygen could have made the manganese oxides.  Johnson's group replied in the same issue.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 46a.

      “Therefore, the conclusion that Mn-oxidizing photosynthesis produced the Koegas Mn deposits is highly tenuous.” ↩ ↩

  47. 47.

    Daye, Mirna et al.  “Light-driven anaerobic microbial oxidation of manganese.”  Nature 576(7786):311–314.  2019.  A culture study from MIT of microbial communities from a stratified New York lake, showing that anoxygenic photosynthetic bacteria and a partner species make manganese oxides in light without oxygen.  It undercuts the use of ancient manganese oxides as proof of oxygen or of a manganese-oxidising photosystem.

    1. 47a.

      Main text, lines 29 to 31 of the author manuscript:  “The ability of microbes to oxidize Mn(II) anaerobically is also hypothesized to have been a critical step in the evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis on the early Earth. However, modern microbes are not known to anaerobically oxidize manganese.” ↩ ↩

    2. 47b.

      Main text, lines 99 to 105 of the author manuscript:  “suggesting that the activity may depend on extracellular electron transfer between the latter two organisms by a currently unknown mechanism. The genome of Chlorobium sp. encodes only a well-studied photosynthetic reaction center with the midpoint potential around +250 mV that cannot directly oxidize Mn(II)-bicarbonate (Eh = 520-670 mV).” ↩

  48. 48.

    Kálmán, László et al.  “Energetics for oxidation of a bound manganese cofactor in modified bacterial reaction centers.”  Biochemistry 50(16):3310–3320.  2011.  Measurements of the oxidising power of several engineered manganese-binding purple-bacterial reaction centres and of the bound manganese itself.

    1. 48a.

      Section Abstract:  “In addition to the Mn binding site, each mutant had changes near the bacteriochlorophyll dimer, P, that resulted in altered P/P+ oxidation/reduction midpoint potentials, which ranged from 480 mV to above 800 mV compared to 505 mV for wild type.”  “yielding a Mn2+/Mn3+ oxidation/reduction midpoint potential of 625 mV at pH 9”. ↩

  49. 49.

    Conlan, Brendon et al.  “Photo-catalytic oxidation of a di-nuclear manganese centre in an engineered bacterioferritin 'reaction centre'.”  Biochimica et Biophysica Acta (BBA) - Bioenergetics 1787(9):1112–1121.  2009.  An engineering study that loaded two manganese ions and a light-absorbing zinc chlorin into bacterioferritin, an iron-storage protein, to copy the donor side of Photosystem II.

    1. 49a.

      Section Abstract:  “Upon illumination the bound ZnCe6 initiates electron transfer, followed by oxidation of the di-nuclear Mn centre possibly via one of the inherent tyrosine residues”. ↩

  50. 50.

    Mahboob, Abdullah et al.  “Factors controlling the redox potential of ZnCe6 in an engineered bacterioferritin photochemical 'reaction centre'.”  PLOS ONE 8(7):e68421.  2013.  A computational study of the engineered bacterioferritin reaction centre, estimating how strong an oxidant its pigment makes and how far that falls short of water oxidation.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 50a.

      Section Abstract:  “According to our calculations, the redox potential for the first oxidation of ZnCe6 in the BRF-RC protein is only 0.57 V, too low to oxidize tyrosine.”  “In order to increase the efficiency of tyrosine oxidation, and ultimately oxidize water, the first potential of ZnCe6 would have to attain a value in excess of 0.8 V.” ↩

  51. 51.

    Chernev, Petko et al.  “Light-driven formation of manganese oxide by today's photosystem II supports evolutionarily ancient manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis.”  Nature Communications 11:6110.  2020.  A spectroscopy study from the Free University of Berlin in which spinach Photosystem II, emptied of its cluster, oxidised dissolved manganese in light into oxide particles bound to the protein.  The authors use it to support a manganese-oxide stage before water splitting.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 51a.

      Section Abstract:  “Oxidation of dissolved manganese ions results in high-valent Mn(III,IV)-oxide nanoparticles of the birnessite type bound to photosystem II, with 50-100 manganese ions per photosystem.” ↩

    2. 51b.

      Section Introduction:  “The evolutionary route towards the present water oxidation catalyst in PSII is much debated”. ↩

  52. 52.

    Shih, Patrick M. et al.  “Crown group Oxyphotobacteria postdate the rise of oxygen.”  Geobiology 15(1):19–29.  2017.  A molecular-clock study, calibrated with fossils and with the genomes of the non-photosynthetic Melainabacteria, that dates the last common ancestor of living photosynthetic cyanobacteria to after the rise of oxygen.

    1. 52a.

      Section Abstract:  “However, long-standing questions concern the evolutionary timing of this metabolism, with conflicting answers spanning more than one billion years.”  “cross-calibrated Bayesian relaxed molecular clock analyses show that crown group Oxyphotobacteria evolved ca. 2.0 billion years ago (Ga), well after the rise of atmospheric dioxygen”. ↩

  53. 53.

    Johnson, Jena E. et al.  “Reply to Jones and Crowe: Correcting mistaken views of sedimentary geology, Mn-oxidation rates, and molecular clocks.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110(44):E4119.  2013.  The authors' reply to Jones and Crowe, defending their manganese evidence and criticising molecular-clock dates for cyanobacteria.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 53a.

      Paragraph on molecular clocks:  “The authors did not include the nonphototrophic deeply branching cyanobacteria, which impacts estimates because the divergence time between cyanobacteria and other phyla is not synonymous with the origin of oxygenic photosynthesis”. ↩

  54. 54.

    Davín, Adrián A. et al.  “A geological timescale for bacterial evolution and oxygen adaptation.”  Science 388(6742).  Apr 4, 2025.  A molecular-clock study of the whole bacterial tree, combining fossil calibrations with reconstructed gene content, that uses the Great Oxidation Event as a time marker and infers when lineages took up oxygen-using metabolism.  Its dates depend on the maximum age allowed for the root, as the authors note.

    1. 54a.

      Section Abstract:  “aerobic metabolism likely pre-dated the GOE in the cyanobacterial ancestor, which may have facilitated the evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis”. ↩ ↩

    2. 54b.

      Section Discussion:  “we cannot reject the possibility that oxygenic photosynthesis predated, or co-evolved with, aerobic metabolism in the cyanobacterial lineage”. ↩

  55. 55.

    The count is this article's own.  Codons are from the published Rhodobacter sphaeroides genes for the L and M proteins (EMBL entries CAA44999.1 and CAA45001.1), in the numbering used in the papers, which leaves out the first methionine.  Leu L131 (CTG) to His needs 2 base changes, Leu M160 (CTG) to His 2, Phe M197 (TTC) to His 2, Arg M164 (CGT) to Tyr 2, Met M168 (ATG) to Glu 2, and Gly to Asp 1.  Allen and colleagues print the last change as Gly M188 to Asp, but in this numbering residue 188 of the M protein is an asparagine and residue 288 is a glycine, so the printed number is probably a slip for M288.  Asn188 to Asp would also take 1 change, so the total is the same.  The script is research/codons.ts. ↩

  56. 56.

    Chen, Zhuoyu et al.  “Prochlorococcus have low global mutation rate and small effective population size.”  Nature Ecology & Evolution 6(2):183–194.  2022.  A mutation-accumulation experiment on the most abundant photosynthetic cell in the ocean, run for 1,065 days with 141 lines sequenced, the only direct measurement of a cyanobacterial mutation rate found.  It also estimates the effective population size from 400 related genomes.

    1. 56a.

      Section Abstract:  “Here, we managed this experiment over 1,065 days using Prochlorococcus marinus AS9601, sequenced genomes of 141 mutant lines and determined its mutation rate to be 3.50 × 10-10 per site per generation.” ↩

    2. 56b.

      Section Abstract:  “Accordingly, we calculated its Ne to be 1.68 × 107, which is only reasonably greater than that of endosymbiotic bacteria but surprisingly smaller than that of many free-living bacteria extrapolated using the same approach.”  The superscripts are lost in the abstract as printed:  the figure is 1.68 × 10⁷. ↩

  57. 57.

    Flombaum, Pedro et al.  “Present and future global distributions of the marine Cyanobacteria Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110(24):9824–9829.  2013.  Global estimates of the two dominant ocean cyanobacteria from niche models fitted to more than 35,000 field counts.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 57a.

      Section Abstract:  “The annual mean global abundances of Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus are 2.9 ± 0.1 × 10(27) and 7.0 ± 0.3 × 10(26) cells, respectively.” ↩

  58. 58.

    Behe, Michael J., and David W. Snoke.  “Simulating evolution by gene duplication of protein features that require multiple amino acid residues.”  Protein Science 13(10):2651–2664.  2004.  A population-genetics model by a leading intelligent-design biochemist and a physicist of how long a duplicated gene takes to gain a feature that needs several specific changes when no partial state is useful.  It is the design side's own quantitative model for this kind of question.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 58a.

      Page 2660:  “If six mutations were required then, as indicated by Figure 6, on average a population size of ∼10^22 organisms would be necessary to fix the MR feature in 10^8 generations, and a population of ∼10^30 organisms would be expected to fix the mutation in one million generations.”  MR means multi-residue.  Their mutation rate is 10⁻⁸ per base per generation. ↩

    2. 58b.

      Page 2658:  “We strongly emphasize that results bearing on the efficiency of this one pathway as a conduit for Darwinian evolution say little or nothing about the efficiency of other possible pathways.”  Page 2661:  “the simulation takes a prospective stance, asking for a certain feature to be produced, but we look at modern proteins retrospectively.” ↩ ↩

  59. 59.

    The calculation is this article's own, in research/pricing.ts.  Mutation rate 3.5 × 10⁻¹⁰ per base per generation (Chen 2022);  one generation a day;  selection coefficient s = 0.01;  population sizes from 1.68 × 10⁷ (Chen 2022's effective size) through 10¹² and 10²⁰ to 3 × 10²⁷ (the ocean census of Flombaum 2013).  A specific base change arises at a third of the mutation rate.  Favoured steps:  each waits for a new mutant that survives drift, at rate N × (rate/3) × 2s, then sweeps in about (2/s) ln N generations.  Neutral steps:  each fixes at rate (mutation rate/3) whatever the population size, and the time for all of them is that inverse rate times the harmonic number of the count.  All-at-once steps:  Behe and Snoke's equation 4 with their own ρ = 1000 null mutations for each useful one, solved for time, plus sweep time.  Run with their inputs (mutation rate 10⁻⁸), the equation gives 1.4 × 10¹¹, 2.6 × 10¹⁶, 8.7 × 10²⁰ and 4.8 × 10²⁹ organisms where they print about 10¹¹, 10¹⁷, 10²² and 10³⁰.  Behe and Snoke's model treats every one of N organisms as an independent trial for the whole period;  with an effective size of 1.68 × 10⁷, lineages share ancestors within about 46,000 years, so the truth for long periods lies between the effective-size row and the census row.  Results for the 5 manganese-site changes and all 11:  favoured, 80 to 400 years and 170 to 870 years;  neutral, 54 and 71 million years;  all at once, 2.9 × 10⁴ and 8.6 × 10¹⁶ years at the census, 1.1 × 10⁶ and 2.6 × 10²⁴ years at 10²⁰, and 1.2 × 10¹⁷ and 1.5 × 10³⁷ years at the effective size.  To finish within the age of the universe the model needs a population of about 1.5 × 10¹⁴ for the 5 changes and 1.9 × 10³⁴ for all 11;  within 100 million years, about 2.1 × 10¹⁶ and 2.6 × 10³⁶. ↩

  60. 60.

    Lynch, Michael.  “Simple evolutionary pathways to complex proteins.”  Protein Science 14(9):2217–2225.  2005.  A reply to Behe and Snoke by an Indiana University population geneticist, using a model in which intermediate states can drift without destroying the gene.  Mirror:  PMC

    1. 60a.

      Page 2222:  “contrary to the assertions of Behe and Snoke that neofunctionalization events involving multiple amino acid residues require 10^8 or more generations and population sizes in excess of 10^9 individuals, it is readily demonstrated that this process can go to completion with high probability on time scales of 10^6 yr or less in populations >10^6 in size.” ↩

  61. 61.

    Lyons, Timothy W. et al.  “The rise of oxygen in Earth's early ocean and atmosphere.”  Nature 506:307–315.  Feb 20, 2014.  A review in Nature of the rock evidence for when oxygen built up in the air and oceans, by three geochemists who work on it.

    1. 61a.

      Page 307:  “For the signals to be generated and then preserved in the rock record requires extremely low atmospheric oxygen levels, probably less than 0.001% of the present atmospheric level (PAL), although other properties of the early biosphere, such as atmospheric methane abundance and biological sulphur cycling, certainly modulated the NMD signal.”  NMD means non-mass-dependent, a sulfur-isotope pattern in which the isotopes are not sorted by mass as usual. ↩

    2. 61b.

      Page 307:  “Far more controversial is the timing of the first emergence of O2-producing photosynthesis, the source of essentially all oxygen in the atmosphere.” ↩

  62. 62.

    French, Katherine L. et al.  “Reappraisal of hydrocarbon biomarkers in Archean rocks.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112(19):5915–5920.  2015.  A multilaboratory study that drilled new cores in the Australian rocks that had yielded the oldest claimed cyanobacterial and eukaryote biomarkers, under hydrocarbon-clean conditions, and compared them with the old samples and with blanks.

    1. 62a.

      Section Abstract:  “Therefore, existing lipid biomarker evidence cannot be invoked to support the emergence of oxygenic photosynthesis and eukaryotes by ∼ 2.7 billion years ago.” ↩

  63. 63.

    Rasmussen, Birger et al.  “Reassessing the first appearance of eukaryotes and cyanobacteria.”  Nature 455(7216):1101–1104.  2008.  Microscale carbon-isotope measurements on the Australian shales that had yielded the oldest claimed eukaryote and cyanobacteria biomarkers, showing that the extracted molecules did not come from the rock's own organic matter.

    1. 63a.

      Section Abstract:  “The oldest fossil evidence for eukaryotes and cyanobacteria therefore reverts to 1.78-1.68 Gyr ago and approximately 2.15 Gyr ago, respectively.” ↩

  64. 64.

    Kah, Linda C. et al.  “Low marine sulphate and protracted oxygenation of the Proterozoic biosphere.”  Nature 431:834–838.  2004.  A study of sulfur isotopes in Proterozoic carbonate rocks used to estimate how much sulfate the oceans held after oxygen first rose.

    1. 64a.

      Section Abstract:  “Our calculations indicate sulphate levels between 1.5 and 4.5 mM, or 5-15 per cent of modern values, for more than 1 Gyr after initial oxygenation of the Earth's biosphere.”  The figure is for sulfate in seawater, not oxygen in the air. ↩

  65. 65.

    Ross, Hugh.  “Protracted Oxygenation of Biosphere.”  Reasons to Believe.  2005.  A short news commentary from the old-earth ministry Reasons to Believe presenting a 2004 Nature paper as evidence for providential timing in earth history.

    1. 65a.

      “The researchers confirmed that oxygen levels in the atmosphere and oceans increased from about 5 percent of present levels to 5 - 15 percent between 2.5 and 2.2 billion years ago.” ↩