"red deer on Jersey, Channel Islands, became reduced to one sixth of their body weight in less than six thousand years" — Adrian Lister, 19891
"How the small brain size reported for the ~60,000 years old LB1 evolved still remains unknown." — Yousuke Kaifu and colleagues, publishing the Mata Menge arm bone, 20242
"Given the lack of consistency, we cannot make a firm conclusion regarding the status of H. floresiensis." — Peter Sinclair and Todd Wood, young-earth baraminologists, 20213
Summary
The Flores hominins weigh about half what a Javan Homo erectus weighed and carry a brain a third the size of a modern human's. This article prices both changes: how fast island mammals are measured to shrink, what selection the body needs on the conventional clock and on a young-earth window, what three published models do to the brain, and which starting population each answer requires. It is a companion to Homo floresiensis and Homo luzonensis, which covers the finds, the dates, the behaviour and the creationist positions; the pathology proposals are tested in Homo floresiensis: The Disease Proposals. The verdict, stated first.
Island dwarfing is real, fast and extreme, and it still cannot make this brain from a modern one. Red deer on Jersey lost five sixths of their weight in under six thousand years.1 Dwarf hippos on Madagascar have brains up to 30 per cent smaller than body scaling predicts.4 Run those rules on a typical Homo erectus and the brain lands at 493 cc, not 426; run them on a modern brain and it lands near 700.45 The published models reach 426 only from a smaller start. From the 860 cc early Javan erectus they leave up to half the loss to something other than body size, and the authors who ran it still call that route possible.66 From Homo habilis, ordinary body scaling does the whole job.6 On the body, the conventional 50,000 to 300,000 year window needs selection that removes about one person in a thousand per generation.7 Windows of 250 to 1,000 years, which are this article's scale figures and which no creationist source states for the hobbit, need the largest-bodied 35 to 7 per cent of every generation to leave no children.8 The 1,000-year window needs three quarters of the rate that deliberate selection for small size produced in laboratory mice, and the 250-year window needs three times it.9
The creationist literature already holds an answer to the brain, and no treatment of the hobbit read for this article uses it. Todd Wood's 2010 baraminology placed Homo habilis in the human holobaramin, and said the dispersal from Babel "would presumably have been led by" it.10 If a 614 cc habilis is human, then a 426 cc islander descended from such a form is human, its brain needs nothing beyond ordinary scaling, and its primitive wrist, foot and limb proportions need no reversal. The body still has to shrink: the model that makes the brain work takes habilis from a 42 mm femoral head to LB1's 31 mm, about two thirds to four fifths of the reduction a Javan erectus needs.8 The cost is a 614 cc habilis counted as an ordinary human, which other creationist specialists reject. Against it stand the Mata Menge jaw and molars, which group with Javan erectus rather than habilis,2 the skull and tooth measurements that point the same way, and the fact that no such small form is known from Asia except Dmanisi.
Two things follow for a young-earth reader, and the rest of the article shows the arithmetic. The body is cheap if the model may spend its whole span and dear if it may not, and what decides that is the rock, not the biology. The brain is the unpaid bill: in the creationist treatments read for this article, the camp that could pay it with Wood's result has not presented it, and the camp that rejects Wood's result has not run the numbers.
Part 1: Insular dwarfing, priced
The creationist position, in its own words. Before pricing a mechanism it is only fair to state what the model claims. Wieland, on the day of the announcement: the small size "may well have arisen because places with limited resources favour the transmission of already-existing genes which consume less of those resources—e.g., the genes for 'smallness'. Even a mutational stunting, like some hereditary instances of dwarfism today, might be favoured in such a situation and come to dominate a population."11 Mitchell, in 2016: "Whether the entire population manifested some sort of yet-to-be-identified growth disorder, island dwarfism, or genetically inbred characteristics, the remains of these small Flores inhabitants are consistent with our biblically based understanding that variations would have appeared among isolated groups of people after the global Flood."12 Rupe and Sanford: "Under these conditions severe inbreeding occurs, as well as selection for reduced body size and brain volume (see chapter 4). Deleterious mutations accumulate in the population and drift to fixation, causing changes in skeletal proportions and various other malformations."13 Wise: the changes "probably followed pre-programmed trajectories through biological character space, the specific course of which may have been largely effected by founder effect and genetic drift in small populations following Babel."14
No creationist source found by the parent article's searches dates the hobbit in years. Two give the LB1 skeleton a place, and they disagree. Joel Klenck in 2010 put it before the Flood, among peoples of Nephilim descent, and gave no cause for its small size.1515 Kurt Wise in 2005 put it after Babel, and his is the placement a dwarfing after the Flood can be set against. It is a bracket for the LB1 skeleton, not a duration for the dwarfing. He reasons from radiocarbon. LB1's dates, then about 18,000 radiocarbon years, are younger than the dates on Flood carbon and older than those that match tree rings, so "Lying between the Flood and ca 1000 B.C. (the time of David), the C-14 dates of LB 1 are consistent with a post-Babel date for the specimen," and "a post-Babel patriarchal date is a very likely one."14 That was written in 2005, before LB1 was redated to about 60,000 years2 and before the Mata Menge fossils were found; the bracket is used here as Wise stated it. Wise elsewhere puts Babel "probably near the midpoint (around 2200 BC), give or take a century,"16 and Mitchell puts the Flood "about 4,350 years ago."12 So the whole span from Babel to David is about 1,200 years, and dispersal to Flores, settlement, dwarfing, and the burial of both sites all fall inside it. On pace the sources give words, not numbers. Wise says the human lineages "changed rapidly in post-Babel times," and of animals after the Flood that diversification "was extremely rapid (within a few centuries of the Flood)."14 Rupe and Sanford say the dwarfing "can occur relatively rapidly in small, isolated populations."13 No creationist source says how many years or generations the hobbit's dwarfing took. The durations of 250, 500 and 1,000 years used below are therefore this article's own scale figures, which no creationist source states for the hobbit. They are chosen to bracket the window, from Wise's "a few centuries" up to nearly all of it, and they are labelled as scale wherever they appear.
What island dwarfing has done, measured. The benchmark case is Adrian Lister's Jersey red deer. Full-sized deer lie in older deposits on the island and dwarfs in Last Interglacial ones: "red deer on Jersey, Channel Islands, became reduced to one sixth of their body weight in less than six thousand years."1 Evans's compilation gives the figures as "about 200 kg to 36 kg during a maximum of 5800 years."17 That is close to a six-fold change in mass, three times what LB1 needs. Two cautions. The time is the length of the island's isolation, so it is a ceiling on the duration, and the rate drawn from it is a floor: "As this is a maximum estimate of the divergence time, this will represent a minimum and therefore conservative estimate of the evolutionary rate."17 The deer may have shrunk much faster, and the case cannot be used as the fastest that selection can go. And six thousand years is longer than the whole post-Flood period on a young-earth chronology, and is itself a conventional date. Alistair Evans's 2012 compilation of mammalian rates puts the island cases together: "elephants on the Mediterranean islands of Sicily, Malta, and Cyprus; mammoths on the California Channel Islands; and red deer on Jersey" with "body mass changes of 5- to 100-fold over estimated time intervals of 0.006–0.8 myr or 2,300–120,000 generations."17 Size decrease is far faster than increase: "The largest decreases, such as insular dwarfism, are more than 30 times the rate of increases of the same magnitude."17 The fastest documented three-fold decrease took 1,000 generations, a figure that rests on these same island cases and is a floor in the same way.17 Primates obey the same rule: the three largest island primates in Lindell Bromham's dataset "are 52, 61 and 80% of the size of their mainland counterparts," and "the predicted mass of H. floresiensis is around 55% of the mass of modern Indonesian H. sapiens, around 52% of the estimated mass of Indonesian H. erectus."18 On body size the hobbit sits at the edge of the measured range, not outside it.
The body, on the conventional clock. The only published quantitative-genetic pricing is by José Diniz-Filho and Pasquale Raia in 2017. Their inputs: an ancestor of 50 kg and 750 to 1,000 cm³, a descendant of 27 kg and 426 cm³, heritability of body size 0.725, and a divergence time of 50,000 to 300,000 years, which at thirty years a generation the paper rounds to "approximately 2000–10 000 generations."7 Over 50,000 simulations, drift alone was rejected in 97 per cent. The selection needed is tiny: a truncation point "3.138 ± 0.155 phenotypic standard deviations, which corresponds to a minimum selective mortality of about 8.48 × 10−4 per generation … against the largest individuals."7 Less than one person in a thousand per generation. In haldanes, the field's unit for rate in standard deviations per generation, that is 0.0004 to 0.002, against at least 0.005 for the Jersey deer and at least 0.007 for the fastest documented three-fold decrease.8 Comfortably inside the measured cases, which are themselves floors.
The body, on a young-earth window. The same change, 50 to 27 kg, with the same heritability. The generation is set at twenty-five years, which is this article's assumption; Diniz-Filho and Raia use thirty, which would make every figure below worse. The windows are this article's scale figures, which no creationist source states for the hobbit.
| Window (scale) | Generations | Rate, haldanes | Share of each generation that must leave no children | Against mice selected for small size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 years | 10 | 0.41 | the largest 35 per cent | 3.0 times their rate |
| 500 years | 20 | 0.21 | the largest 16 per cent | 1.5 times |
| 1,000 years | 40 | 0.10 | the largest 7 per cent | three quarters |
| 4,200 years, the whole post-Flood span | 168 | 0.024 | the largest 1 per cent | under a fifth |
The fourth column is the breeder's equation run backwards: the fraction of the biggest people who must die childless every generation, for the whole period, for truncation selection on body size to move the mean that far.8 Run on Diniz-Filho and Raia's own inputs, the same sum returns their published threshold of 3.1 standard deviations and about one death in a thousand, so the table is their model at shorter times and nothing else. It uses the pooled standard deviation of 0.15 in log mass that Evans's compilation uses, which is the kinder choice. With Diniz-Filho and Raia's own narrower 0.05, which is the like-for-like comparison with their one in a thousand, the figures are 89, 53, 25 and 5 per cent.
The nearest real case is not the deer. The Jersey rate is an average over about 2,300 generations and a floor, and Evans's team warns against setting such a figure beside a short one: "although a very high rate can be sustained for a short interval, over longer periods, rates tend to vary and the direction of evolution may change. Thus, interval length must be incorporated into any analysis."17 The right yardstick for ten to forty generations is what selection has been seen to do over ten to forty generations. Philip Gingerich's 2001 study of rates supplies it. In D. S. Falconer's 1973 experiment, six lines of laboratory mice were selected in every generation for small body weight for 23 generations, and they shrank at a mean of 0.137 standard deviations per generation with almost no slowing.9 At that rate the hobbit's 4.1 standard deviations take 30 generations, about 750 years at this article's generation length. Field studies run slower, at rates of the order of a hundredth to a tenth of a standard deviation per generation over ten to a hundred generations.9 So the 1,000-year window asks for three quarters of what a breeder got from mice and sits at the top of the range seen in the wild. The 500-year window asks for half as much again as the breeder got. The 250-year window asks for three times it, sustained for ten generations in a wild population with nobody doing the selecting. Mice in a laboratory are not people on an island, and Falconer's rate is what one experiment achieved, not a ceiling.
Three honest caveats cut in both directions. Truncation is the most efficient selection there is, so a real population with softer selection needs more. A small founding party loses genetic variance and suffers inbreeding depression, which slows the response. And a founder effect, a party that was already short, shortens the distance; the living Rampasasa show how far ordinary human variation goes on this island, which is 145 cm.19 The arithmetic also prices only selection, which is the mechanism Wieland and Rupe and Sanford name. Wise's pre-programmed change is not selection on existing variation and states no rate, so it cannot be priced this way; it is tested against the fossils below. The verdict on the body: a 250-year window needs three times the sustained response of the laboratory case and is not credible by selection alone; a 1,000-year window is demanding but inside what selection has been measured to do; and if the model may spend its whole span, the body-size change is cheap. What forbids spending the whole span is not the arithmetic but the rock, to which this article returns below.
The brain. This is where the models part. Three published treatments can be run from any starting brain, and all three are reproduced in the article's script.5
First, Daisuke Kubo, Reiko Kono and Yousuke Kaifu in 2013 fitted brain volume against femoral-head diameter across twenty human populations of the last ten thousand years and shrank two candidate ancestors to LB1's femoral head of 31 mm. From Homo habilis at 614 cc and a 42 mm femoral head, body scaling alone gives 378 to 488 cc across their eight slopes; 426 is inside. From the earliest Javan erectus at 860 cc, "the estimated body size decrease (changes in the FHD from 45–50 to 31 mm) would reduce the ECV from 860 to 469–585 cc (63–90% reduction) by body size scaling alone."6 Their reading: "at least 50 per cent, probably much more, of the brain size reduction in H. floresiensis could occur as scaling effect if this little hominin derived from early Indonesian H. erectus. This means that 0–50% of its brain size decrease needs to be explained by other factors."6 On the steepest of their eight slopes the Javan range comes down to 400 to 474 cc, which takes in 426, and on the next steepest it stops at 438. Their own conclusion is that "evolution from early Javanese H. erectus to H. floresiensis was possible in terms of brain size."6 The slope is a within-human slope extrapolated below the human range, and the authors say so. Run the same slopes from a modern brain of 1,350 cc at a 45 mm femoral head, which no source models and is used here for scale only, and the result is 744 to 1,017 cc. Short by 320 to 590 cc on every slope.
Second, Eleanor Weston and Adrian Lister measured the extinct dwarf hippos of Madagascar. The mainland hippo has an 882 cm³ brain at about 1,495 kg; Hippopotamus lemerlei has 380 cm³ at 374 kg, a quarter of the ancestral mass. Ordinary within-species scaling, brain proportional to mass to the power 0.35, predicts 544 cm³; the real brain is 30 per cent below that. The second dwarf hippo is 24 per cent below, the Sicilian dwarf elephant 20 per cent.44 So brains do shrink beyond scaling on islands. The objection that ordinary scaling cannot make so small a brain, which Kubo's paper relays from Robert Martin's team as a 60 kg erectus shrunk to 16 kg and still holding 794 of its 991 cc,6 does not hold in principle. Then the authors ran it on hominins, scaling to 23 kg and taking off the full hippo penalty: "If the hippo model is applied to a typical H. erectus ancestor with a body mass of 60 kg and average endocranial capacity of 991 (cm3) … an endocranial capacity of 704 cm3 (71 % of the original value) would be predicted from scaling … If the brain were reduced by a further 30 % of that value, as in the case of the Malagasy hippo H. lemerlei, an endocranial capacity of 493 cm3 would result. This is still larger than the actual value of H. floresiensis."4 They reach the hobbit only from a small African erectus skull, KNM-ER 3883, 804 cm³ to 405, or from Dmanisi, 650 cm³ at 40 kg to 378. The 30 per cent is the maximum seen in one species; with the elephant's 20 per cent, even the small African erectus falls short at 460. From a modern brain the hippo model at its maximum gives 676 cc, and from the Rampasasa mean of 1,270 ml it gives 636; both are scale figures, since no source models them. Note what the hippos do not say. The paper states that their "times of dispersal to Madagascar are unknown,"4 so this case prices the amount of brain loss and says nothing about its speed. The nearest fast case the paper names is domestication: "domesticated mammals that on average have smaller brains than their wild relatives." The authors add two differences, that in domestic animals the loss is not tied to a smaller body and comes with smaller sense organs, which LB1's eye sockets do not show.4 How much brain domestic animals lost, and how fast, was not checked for this article.
Third, Diniz-Filho and Raia let the brain fall only as a by-product of body size, from ancestors of 750 to 1,000 cm³, and got "a mean of 479 ± 73 cm3," a little above LB1; working backward from 426, "the distribution of expected ancestral brain size (EABS) peaks at around 750 cm3 (median 775, with 95% CI from 628 to 1050)."7 A modern brain is outside that interval. The 860 cc Javan erectus is inside it, and a typical 991 cc erectus is inside it near the top. About a fifth of their runs landed between 400 and 450 cm³, and those started mostly from 750 to 800.7 Their own conclusion: "explaining the exceedingly small cranial volume of H. floresiensis requires additional selective forces acting on brain size alone."7
Put the distances in one unit, the within-population standard deviation of log brain size, 0.10. LB1 is 11.5 standard deviations from a modern brain, 7.0 from Javan erectus, 4.2 from Dmanisi, and 3.7 from habilis.5 Nothing published gets a modern-sized brain to 426. A typical erectus gets there only in the upper tail of Diniz-Filho and Raia's interval, and not under the hippo's 30 per cent, the largest brain penalty measured against a known ancestor. The small African erectus skull and the Dmanisi skull do get there under that penalty. The 860 cc Javan erectus gets there with up to half the loss left to something beyond body size. Habilis gets there on body scaling alone.
One larger penalty is on record and is not used above. The Mallorcan goat-antelope Myotragus had a brain "reduced by up to 50% relative to values of extant bovids of equivalent body mass." The two measures are not the same, since the hippo figure is taken against the scaled-down ancestor and this one against living bovids of the same weight, so what follows is for scale only: at 50 per cent a typical erectus would land near 350 cc, below LB1, and a modern brain near 480, still above it. Weston and Lister set Myotragus aside because its link with dwarfing "has, however, been disputed in the light of the length of the bovid's isolation and its uncertain ancestry"; it had been on Mallorca "for more than 5 million years."45 The starting population decides most of the answer.
What the fossils show, and what they do not. The Flores record does not show the dwarfing happening. It shows it finished. The oldest hominin bones on the island, at Mata Menge, are smaller than the Liang Bua ones "by 1–21%" in every measurement that can be compared,2 and the mainstream bound on the change is "within ~300,000 years" of an arrival at "~1.0–1.27 Ma."2 There is no Mata Menge skull, and the authors say plainly that "How the small brain size reported for the ~60,000 years old LB1 evolved still remains unknown."2 For a young-earth model the same facts read differently and harder. The change was complete before the lowest fossil-bearing layer was laid down. Then body size did not fall further through everything that lies above that layer: 13.5 m of beds up to the first dated ash, the one numbered second,20 "at least 85" separate ash layers in the lake beds,20 whatever separates the So'a Basin from the cave, and the cave fill up to the last hobbit bone. So the dwarfing must be fast, which is the rate problem above, and then it must stop, in a population still small and isolated. Selection to an optimum, which is Wieland's mechanism, explains a stop: once the island's size is reached there is nothing left to select for. Wise's "pre-programmed trajectories" come with a "high post-Flood intrabaraminic diversification rate decreasing to the present."14 A falling rate allows a stop, but his paper gives no reason why one lineage should finish early and then hold still through centuries in which, on his own account, the other human lineages were still changing. On this point Wieland's mechanism gives the better account, and none of the creationist treatments read for this article compares the two.
Part 2: The answer the creationist literature already holds, and has not used
Part 1 ends on one fact: the smaller the ancestor's brain, the less there is to explain, and from Homo habilis there is nothing left over. The creationist literature contains a result that makes such an ancestor human, and none of the creationist treatments of the hobbit read for this article has picked it up.
In 2010 Todd Wood, the young-earth biologist most identified with statistical baraminology, published an analysis titled "Baraminological Analysis Places Homo habilis, Homo rudolfensis, and Australopithecus sediba in the Human Holobaramin."10 Working on skull and tooth characters, he found that "the present results strongly support the classification of all three species in the human holobaramin," and he gave his own warning that "all of the datasets used in this study contain only craniodental data."10 He also drew the consequence for the dispersal: "the dispersal of the human population from Babel would presumably have been led by H. habilis and H. rudolfensis, specimens of which appear stratigraphically lower than any other human species."10 The method, its reasons and its critics are argued in Lucy and the Pre-Human Hominins and are not repeated here. What matters here is the consequence. Wood's human group contains Homo habilis, whose brain Kubo's paper takes as 614 cc, the mean of three East African skulls. If a 614 cc habilis is human, then Kubo's first row applies: shrink a habilis body to LB1's femoral head and ordinary body scaling delivers 378 to 488 cc with nothing left to explain.6 The primitive features stop being a puzzle. LB1's wrist bones show the pattern of "fossil hominins that preserve comparable wrist morphology and date before 1.7 Ma," and the paper's comparison of one of them includes the habilis hand from Olduvai.21 The long foot and the australopith-like limb proportions need no reversal either.
What the answer does not remove is the body. Kubo's first row works only because the body shrinks, from a 42 mm femoral head to 31 mm. That is two thirds to four fifths of the reduction from a Javan erectus at 45 to 50 mm. On the scale windows of Part 1, the share of each generation that must leave no children falls from 35, 16 and 7 per cent to between 21 and 28, between 9 and 12, and between 4 and 5 per cent.8 A smaller early Homo than Kubo's would need less, but then it is no longer the 614 cc start the sum was run on. So on Wood's own result the hobbit's brain costs a young-earth model nothing beyond scaling, and its body between a fifth and a third less than before.
Wood did not carry this through to Flores. His 2010 paper had the hobbit in only one dataset, which gave inconclusive results, listed it under "Possible additional taxa" of the human group, and said: "Creationist opinion on H. floresiensis differs. Hartwig-Scherer (2005) and Wise (2005) consider it a legitimate human species, but Line (2006) believes that it was a microcephalic H. sapiens. This debate also continues among professional paleoanthropologists … but it is immaterial to the question of whether H. floresiensis is human, which creationists agree that it is."10 That agreement was overtaken in 2017, when Jean O'Micks, using Wood's own methods, concluded that "both H. naledi and H. floresiensis are not part of the human holobaramin, but are rather australopiths."22 Wood's 2021 revision with Peter Sinclair, on a 391-character matrix, could not place the hobbit at all: "In all analyses H. floresiensis shares no significant distance correlation, positive or negative, with any of the other taxa, human or nonhuman."3 Medoid partitioning put it with humans, two-cluster fuzzy analysis with the apes, and "Given the lack of consistency, we cannot make a firm conclusion regarding the status of H. floresiensis."3 In between, in 2016, Wood had added the Flores form to the human group on Wise's cultural grounds of tools, fire and a sea crossing, and said nothing of its ancestry.23 The 2021 paper kept habilis: the human holobaramin "probably includes the more fragmentary H. heidelbergensis, H. habilis, H. rudolfensis, H. naledi, and Au. sediba."3 So the method creationists built to draw the human boundary still puts habilis inside it, with a "probably," and will not say on which side the hobbit falls.
The mainstream has had the small-ancestor reading on the table since the first paper, and it is not a fringe. The 2004 description offered it as one of two origins: "The first hominin immigrants may have had a similar body size to H. erectus and early Homo, with subsequent dwarfing; or, an unknown small-bodied and small-brained hominin may have arrived on Flores from the Sunda Shelf."24 The 2005 endocast paper proposed "that H. erectus and H. floresiensis may have shared a common ancestor that was an unknown small-bodied and small-brained hominin."25 The 2005 skeletal paper said flatly that "H. floresiensis is not just an allometrically scaled-down version of H. erectus."26 The wrist paper concluded that LB1 "represents a species descended from a hominin ancestor that branched off before the origin of the clade that includes modern humans, Neandertals, and their last common ancestor."21 That does not by itself exclude Homo erectus. The same paper notes that "no carpals are attributed to Homo erectus sensu lato" apart from one partial bone, so the wrist of erectus was unknown.21 The foot paper raised the possibility that the ancestor "was not Homo erectus but instead some other, more primitive, hominin."27 And a 2017 tree analysis by Debbie Argue, Colin Groves, Michael Lee and William Jungers, whose abstract reports parsimony and Bayesian trees on characters of the skull, jaw, teeth and limbs together, concluded that "H. floresiensis is sister either to H. habilis alone or to a clade consisting of at least H. habilis, H. erectus, Homo ergaster, and H. sapiens. A close phylogenetic relationship between H. floresiensis and H. erectus or H. sapiens can be rejected."28
The cost. Two costs that might be charged to this answer are not special to it. A 426 cc human, and a human kind whose wrist runs from the ape pattern in LB1 to the modern pattern in Neanderthals, whom this project's Neanderthal article treats as fully human, are already carried by every model that calls LB1 human, whichever ancestor it starts from. On any of them "human" can no longer be diagnosed from the hand or from brain size. The cost that is special lies upstream. The answer needs small-brained people as an ordinary, undwarfed human population on the mainland, a 614 cc habilis with no island to explain it. That is the question the Homo naledi article fights over, and whatever is decided there is decided here too. It splits the creationist camp. Wood's own paper lists Hartwig-Scherer, Gish, Hummer, Mehlert, Murdock and Young as denying that habilis is human.10 David DeWitt, replying in the same journal, called Wood's placement "a false positive result."29 Peter Line, who writes CMI's hominin articles, holds that Homo habilis is "an illusory species" and that all australopiths are "extinct apish primates."30 On Line's reading the only humans are erectus-grade and up, so the hobbit's brain must be halved by disease or dwarfing; on Wood's it needs only what its smaller body brings. The two camps need different amounts of change, and neither says so in anything read for this article. One recent paper reaches small-brained humans from another direction. Christopher Rupe's 2026 "Pygmy Human Hypothesis" counts Lucy as a small human and notes that she and the hobbit have "nearly identical endocranial capacities," but he gets both by "genetic isolation, insular dwarfism, inbreeding, and fixation events," not from a small-brained ancestor.31
What the evidence does to it. Two things cut against the small-ancestor reading and the article prints both. First, the Mata Menge teeth. The 2016 description found them "derived compared with Australopithecus and H. habilis, and so tend to support the view that H. floresiensis is a dwarfed descendent of early Asian H. erectus,"32 and the 2024 paper, comparing a molar crown outline, concluded that the lineage "most likely evolved from early Asian H. erectus."2 The 2024 paper goes further than one tooth. It reports that earlier skull and tooth studies "almost unanimously support strong affinities of H. floresiensis with H. erectus," that a habilis ancestor would need "substantial molar size reduction" together with a change of form that habilis teeth do not show, and that "the hypothesis that H. floresiensis is a direct lineal descendant of H. habilis s.l. is not supported."2 Second, geography. No small-bodied, small-brained early Homo is known from Asia apart from Dmanisi, in Georgia, whose adults run 546 to 730 cc in the Homo erectus article's survey, and one of whose skulls, D3444 at 650 cc, reaches the hobbit under the hippo model at 378 cc.4 Dmanisi is on the road to Asia and would be the obvious candidate; nothing like it has been found between Georgia and Flores, and Wood himself wrote that habilis and rudolfensis "are known only from Africa."10 So the mainstream has two live origins and has not chosen. The whole-skeleton tree and the foot say early Homo, and the wrist says only that the ancestor was earlier than Neanderthals and modern humans. Skull measurements and the Mata Menge jaw and molars say dwarfed Javan erectus, and the team holding the oldest fossils calls that the most likely origin. Both rest on character judgements the two schools score differently, and no Flores fossil older than 700 thousand years exists to show what arrived. Each creationist camp maps onto one of the two. Wieland, Wise, and Rupe and Sanford state the second, and Mitchell allows it.11141213 They must pay for whatever part of the brain body scaling leaves over, which on Kubo's figures is up to half the loss. Rupe and Sanford come nearest to doing so. They cite Diniz-Filho and Raia as "almost a point for point confirmation" of their chapter and list the Madagascar hippos among the points.13 They do not report that the hippo model stops at 493 cc from a typical erectus, or that Diniz-Filho and Raia conclude the brain "requires additional selective forces acting on brain size alone." Wood's holobaramin can take the first origin and pay nothing on the brain beyond scaling. No treatment read for this article runs the numbers for the second camp or presents the first.
Objections and responses
"Island dwarfing is a story, not a measurement." It is measured. Red deer on Jersey to a sixth of their weight in under six thousand years; hippos on Madagascar to a quarter of their mass with brains 24 to 30 per cent below what that mass predicts; the three largest island primates at 52 to 80 per cent of their mainland relatives; and modern humans on Flores itself to 145 cm by selection on ordinary variants. Nothing in this article's case for dwarfing is an extrapolation past those cases, except the brain, and the article says there that the published models reach 426 cc only from a start well below a modern brain.
"So the hobbit was a founder population that was already short." Partly fair, and the article prices it: a short founding party shortens the distance, and the Rampasasa show the reach of ordinary human variation at 145 cm. The founder shortcut does not help the brain. LB1 falls 5.5 standard deviations below the mean of the Rampasasa themselves, the short people who live beside the cave,33 and the disease proposals, tested in the companion article, do not supply the rest. A founder party that was already small-brained is the early-Homo answer of Part 2, with its cost.
"Nobody says the dwarfing took 250 years. That window is a straw man." Nobody gives a number, and the article labels 250, 500 and 1,000 years as its own scale figures wherever they appear. The nearest thing in the sources is Wise's phrase for animals after the Flood, "within a few centuries," and his statement that the human lineages "changed rapidly."14 The model's own window, Babel to David, is about 1,200 years for everything, and at a thousand years the body-size change is demanding but inside what selection has been measured to do. What the model has not done is say where inside that window the Mata Menge fossil layer, the "at least 85" ash layers above it, and the Liang Bua cave fill fall. Until it does, no duration can be assigned, and the arithmetic is a bracket, not a verdict.
"Setting a few centuries against the Jersey deer is unfair. Short bursts are always faster than long averages." Yes, and Evans's team says so.17 That is why the young-earth windows are set against Falconer's mice over 23 generations and not against the deer over 2,300. The deer's figure is a floor, and it is used only to show that the conventional rate is unremarkable.
"Other creationists say Wood's method should be abandoned. Why build on it?" They do say so. Colin Reeves, a statistician writing in the same creationist journal in 2021, argued that Wood's methods "are based on a shaky understanding of statistical principles, and that their use ought to be abandoned."34 In 2010 Anne Habermehl wrote that Wood's paper "raises very real doubt whether statistical methods should be applied to baraminology at all," and David DeWitt called its result a false positive.2929 Sinclair and Wood's 2021 paper is the reply. It reran the hominins with the clustering methods Reeves recommended and reported that "these additional methods do not substantially alter previous conclusions."3 This article does not rest its verdict on the method. It reports what follows if Wood's 2010 result stands, states the cost, and gives the evidence against; the method and its critics are argued in Lucy and the Pre-Human Hominins. A reader who rejects the method is left with the other camp's bill, which Part 1 prices.
Issues and unanswered questions
- There is no Mata Menge skull. Body size at 700 thousand years is measured; brain size is not. The whole brain argument rests on one skull from the younger site.
- What arrived. No Flores fossil older than 700 thousand years exists. The tools at 1.02 million years have no bones with them.2 Whether the colonist was erectus-sized or already small is open on both sides.
- The small-brained human. Every model that calls LB1 human already has a 426 cc human. Whether small-brained people were an ordinary mainland population, which the early-Homo answer needs, is decided in the naledi article, and whatever is decided there decides which creationist model can carry the hobbit.
- Two papers were read as abstracts only. Argue and colleagues' 2017 tree analysis could not be obtained in full, so which characters carry its result and how strongly its trees support it are not reported here. Lister's 1989 paper on the Jersey deer is cited from its abstract and from the masses and duration that Evans's compilation relays; how the six thousand years was fixed was not read.
- Two inputs to the rate table are this article's assumptions. The 25-year generation has no source, and the choice between a standard deviation of 0.15 and 0.05 in log body mass changes the answer by a factor of about three. The note gives the results for each.
- The laboratory yardstick is one experiment on mice. No selection experiment on a large, slow-breeding mammal was found to set beside it, and the selection pressure Falconer applied was not read.
- Speed of brain loss. The hippos give an amount with no duration. Domestic animals, which Weston and Lister name, would give both, and their figures were not checked.
- What was read on the creationist side. The statement that nobody has applied Wood's result to the hobbit covers Wieland 2004, Wise 2005, Wood 2010 and 2016, Mitchell 2016, Rupe and Sanford 2017, O'Micks 2017, Sinclair and Wood 2021, Line 2022 and Rupe 2026. It is a statement about those, not about everything in print. The parent article reports two more treatments, and neither uses Wood's result: Klenck 2010 puts the hobbit before the Flood among peoples of Nephilim descent,15 and Thomas 2020 reads it as a modern human with microcephaly.35
- Wise's bracket is out of date. It was drawn from radiocarbon dates of about 18,000 years, before LB1 was redated and before Mata Menge. No creationist source read here has redrawn it.
Verdict
Island dwarfing is real, fast and extreme, and it explains the body. On the conventional clock it costs one person in a thousand per generation. On this article's scale windows, which no creationist source states for the hobbit, it costs a third of every generation at 250 years, three times what deliberate selection achieved in laboratory mice, and 7 per cent at 1,000 years, which is inside what selection has been measured to do. On the model's full span it is cheap, and what forbids spending the full span is the rock. Dwarfing does not explain the brain from a modern start under any published model, and from a typical erectus it does so only at the edge of one. The pathology school was right that a modern brain cannot simply be scaled down to this one.
The creationist literature already holds an answer to the brain. On Todd Wood's 2010 result, a 614 cc Homo habilis is human, and a 426 cc islander descended from such a form needs nothing for its brain beyond ordinary scaling and has the wrist, foot and limbs it should. Its body still has to shrink by most of the distance. The mainstream has had that origin on the table since 2004, and a 2017 tree analysis supports it. Its cost is a small-brained habilis counted as an ordinary human, which splits the creationist camp. Its evidence against is the Mata Menge jaw and molars, the skull and tooth studies that group the hobbit with Javan erectus, and the absence of any such form between Dmanisi and Flores. The camp that rejects it must pay for whatever part of the brain scaling leaves over, and in what was read for this article it cites the pricing papers without running their numbers; the camp that could take it has not presented it.
The describers put the Flores form in Homo on its teeth and face, and no measurement of its body or brain has moved it out. What the arithmetic settles is narrower and firmer: which starting population a model may assume. From Homo habilis the brain is free and the body is not; from Javan erectus the brain needs up to half its loss from something beyond body scaling; from a modern human it is unreachable by any published rule. Wieland, Wise, and Rupe and Sanford have chosen erectus in print, and none of them runs the numbers for the brain. Until someone on the young-earth side does, or takes Wood's route and its cost, the hobbit's brain is a bill nobody has agreed to pay.
Sources
- 1.
Lister, Adrian M. “Rapid dwarfing of red deer on Jersey in the Last Interglacial.” Nature 342(6249):539–542. Nov 30, 1989. The benchmark measured case of fast island dwarfing in a large mammal. Full-sized red deer occur in older deposits on Jersey and dwarfs a sixth of their weight in Last Interglacial ones; the time given is the estimated length of the island's isolation, so it is a ceiling on how long the dwarfing took. Lister is a palaeontologist at the Natural History Museum, London.
- 1a.
Page 539: “Here I give the first example in which the island dwarf is well dated, the full-sized ancestor is found in demonstrably older deposits on the island, and a good estimate can be made for the duration of the isolation leading to dwarfing. In the Last Interglacial, red deer on Jersey, Channel Islands, became reduced to one sixth of their body weight in less than six thousand years.” ↩ ↩ ↩
- 1a.
- 2.
Kaifu, Yousuke et al. “Early evolution of small body size in Homo floresiensis.” Nature Communications 15:6381. Aug 6, 2024. Reports the adult humerus SOA-MM9 and two teeth from Layer II at Mata Menge, bringing the site to ten hominin pieces, with bone histology, stature estimates and a molar-shape comparison. Kaifu is a palaeoanthropologist at the University of Tokyo. Open access.
- 2a.
Page 1: “The H. floresiensis lineage most likely evolved from early Asian H. erectus and was a long-lasting lineage on Flores with markedly diminutive body size since at least ~700,000 years ago.” ↩
- 2b.
Page 10: “The earliest Flores hominins appeared on this Wallacean island ~1.0–1.27 Ma, probably unintentionally (i.e., through accidental 'rafting', perhaps on tsunami debris), and possibly as part of the initial colonization of the Sunda Shelf region by early H. erectus. The Flores hominins experienced substantial body size reduction soon after this event (within ~300,000 years), despite the presence of large-bodied predators such as ~3 meter-long Komodo monitors and crocodiles from the earliest paleontological record ( ~ 1.4 Ma) onwards.” ↩
- 2c.
Page 10: “How the small brain size reported for the ~60,000 years old LB1 evolved still remains unknown.” ↩ ↩ ↩
- 2d.
Page 8: “Alternatively, if H. habilis s.l. was ancestral to Mata Menge/Liang Bua H. floresiensis, the latter would need to have experienced substantial molar size reduction of ~65–60% in mesiodistal and buccolingual crown diameters (from H. habilis means), and this accompanied by form changes comparable to the early Javanese H. erectus condition. Because no such allometric relationships are evident between molar crown size and form within H. habilis (Supplementary Note 6), the hypothesis that H. floresiensis is a direct lineal descendant of H. habilis s.l. is not supported.” Page 10: “the reported craniometric and odontometric analyzes which almost unanimously support strong affinities of H. floresiensis with H. erectus (particularly early H. erectus from Java)”. Page 8 also reports that the 2016 jaw and first or second molar, and now the third molar, are closer in shape to early Javan Homo erectus than to Australopithecus and Homo habilis. ↩ ↩
- 2e.
Page 6: “In all available measurements of the mandibular body, postcanine teeth (P3, M1/2 and M3) and distal humerus, the Mata Menge fossils reported here or previously are smaller than the Liang Bua H. floresiensis remains (LB1 and LB6/1) by 1–21% (Table 2).” ↩
- 2f.
Page 1: “technologically simple stone artefacts (the oldest of which date back to at least 1.02 ± 0.02 million years ago [Ma])”. ↩
- 2a.
- 3.
Sinclair, Peter, and Todd Charles Wood. “Revising Hominin Baraminology with Medoid Partitioning and Fuzzy Analysis.” Answers Research Journal 14:451–462. 2021. Reruns the statistical baraminology of the hominins on a 391-character matrix that includes Homo floresiensis, with three clustering methods. Its Table 1 sorts creationist opinion on the hobbit: "Not human", O'Micks 2017; "Human", Wise 2005, Line 2006, Wood 2016, Rupe and Sanford 2017. Locators are section names.
- 3a.
Section Results: “In all analyses H. floresiensis shares no significant distance correlation, positive or negative, with any of the other taxa, human or nonhuman.” ↩
- 3b.
Section Discussion: “Distance correlation placed H. floresiensis in its own singleton cluster rather than in a human or nonhuman cluster. Three-cluster and two-cluster medoid partitioning placed H. floresiensis in the human cluster, but fuzzy analysis did not. … Two-cluster fuzzy analysis uniformly placed H. floresiensis in a cluster with nonhuman apes. Given the lack of consistency, we cannot make a firm conclusion regarding the status of H. floresiensis.” ↩ ↩
- 3c.
Section Discussion: “Given the results of our analysis of Berger et al.’s (2010) and Dembo et al.’s (2016) updated characters sets, we conclude that these additional methods do not substantially alter previous conclusions: the human holobaramin consists of the well-characterized human forms of H. sapiens, Neandertals, and H. erectus and probably includes the more fragmentary H. heidelbergensis, H. habilis, H. rudolfensis, H. naledi, and Au. sediba.” The additional methods are the medoid partitioning and fuzzy analysis that Colin Reeves had recommended. ↩ ↩
- 3a.
- 4.
Weston, Eleanor M., and Adrian M. Lister. “Insular dwarfism in hippos and a model for brain size reduction in Homo floresiensis.” Nature 459(7243):85–88. May 7, 2009. Skull-volume measurements on the two extinct dwarf hippos of Madagascar, 24 and 12 skulls, against 18 of their mainland ancestor, with the Sicilian dwarf elephant as a further case, then applied to three candidate ancestors of the hobbit. Both authors are at the Natural History Museum, London. Locators below are pages of the authors' manuscript; the journal pagination is 85–88. Mirror: PMC
- 4a.
Section manuscript page 1: “Here we show that the endocranial capacities of extinct dwarf species of hippopotamus from Madagascar are up to 30% smaller than those of a mainland African ancestor scaled to equivalent body mass. These results show brain size reduction is much greater than predicted from an intraspecific 'late ontogenetic' model of dwarfism where brain size scales to body size with an exponent of 0.35.” ↩ ↩
- 4b.
Section manuscript page 3: “If the hippo model is applied to a typical H. erectus ancestor with a body mass of 60 kg and average endocranial capacity of 991 (cm3) that reduced its body mass by 62 % to 23 kg (the median of the 16 – 29 kg estimated body mass of H. floresiensis), an endocranial capacity of 704 cm3 (71 % of the original value) would be predicted from scaling (body mass)0.35. If the brain were reduced by a further 30 % of that value, as in the case of the Malagasy hippo H. lemerlei, an endocranial capacity of 493 cm3 would result. This is still larger than the actual value of H. floresiensis (380 – 430 cm3), but if the ancestor had an endocranial capacity of 804 cm3, as in the African H. erectus KNM-ER 3883, scaling the body mass of the ancestor down to 23 kg and then reducing the brain size by a further 30 % of the scaled value gives an endocranial capacity of 405 cm3, comparable to that of H. floresiensis (see Supplementary Table 5). By the same analogy if the Dmanisi adult Homo remains (skull D3444 cf. H. erectus), with an endocranial capacity 650 cm3 (ref. 29) and body mass of 40 kg (ref. 30) are considered, an endocranial capacity of 378 cm3 would result”. The passage runs onto page 4. "(body mass)0.35" is body mass raised to the power 0.35. Reference numerals in the printed passage are omitted. ↩ ↩ ↩
- 4c.
Section manuscript page 10, table 1: Hippopotamus amphibius 882 ± 16 cm³ (n = 18) at an adult body mass of 1,495 ± 29.5 kg; H. lemerlei 380 ± 7.25 cm³ (n = 24) at 374 kg, predicted 544 cm³; H. madagascariensis 421 ± 11.9 cm³ (n = 12) at 393 kg, predicted 553 cm³; Palaeoloxodon falconeri 1,800 cm³ against 9,000 cm³ in P. antiquus, predicted 2,250 cm³. Section manuscript page 11, table 2. ↩ ↩
- 4d.
Section manuscript page 4: “Similar intercept shifts to those illustrated in Figure 1 have been reported from domesticated mammals that on average have smaller brains than their wild relatives. Domesticated mammals provide proof of the developmental malleability of the brain among closely related species or within species, but there are some noteworthy distinctions between the phenomena of domestication and island dwarfism. The brain size reduction in domestic mammals is not necessarily associated with body size reduction, as it is in phyletic dwarfism, and domestication is usually associated with a reduction in the size of the sense organs. H. floresiensis, unlike the bovid Myotragus and domesticated mammals, does not have reduced orbital dimensions”. Reference numerals are omitted. ↩
- 4e.
Section manuscript page 1: “The strongest case previously documented is that of a fossil bovid Myotragus, isolated on the Mediterranean island of Mallorca for more than 5 million years. The brain mass of Myotragus was reduced by up to 50% relative to values of extant bovids of equivalent body mass. A link between the relatively small brain of Myotragus and the process of dwarfism has, however, been disputed in the light of the length of the bovid’s isolation and its uncertain ancestry.” Reference numerals are omitted. ↩
- 4f.
Section manuscript page 2: “Madagascar is a large island of diverse habitats that has prehistorically supported up to three species of hippopotamus whose times of dispersal to Madagascar are unknown, but whose remains persist to within the last 6000 years.” Reference numerals are omitted. ↩
- 4a.
- 5.
The brain figures are this article's own reproduction of three published models, run in the script
research/dwarfing-rates.tsin the parent article's folder and recomputed separately for this article. Kubo 2013: a descendant's volume is the ancestor's volume times the ratio of femoral-head diameters raised to the slope, with LB1's femoral head at 31 mm, Homo habilis at 614 cc and 42 mm, the earliest Javan Homo erectus at 860 cc and 45 to 50 mm, and the eight slopes of Kubo's Table 2 from 0.76 to 1.60;6 the sum recovers every value in that table to within 2 cc. A modern brain of 1,350 cc at 45 mm, which no source models, gives 744 to 1,017 cc and is used for scale only; at 50 mm it gives 628 to 939 cc. Weston and Lister 2009: scale the ancestor's volume by the ratio of body masses to the power 0.35, then take off a further 20, 24 or 30 per cent, the shortfalls measured in the Sicilian dwarf elephant and the two Madagascar hippos;4 the sum recovers the paper's 544, 553 and 2,250 cc predictions to within 2 per cent and its hominin figures of 493, 405 and 378 cc to within 1 per cent. Run from 1,350 cc at 60 kg down to 23 kg the model gives 965 cc from scaling and 676 cc at the 30 per cent penalty; from the Rampasasa mean of 1,270 ml,33 636 cc; both are scale figures. The Myotragus figures are also for scale: half of the scaled 708 cc for a typical Homo erectus is 354 cc, and half of the scaled 965 cc for a modern brain is 483 cc. Standard-deviation distances use a standard deviation of 0.10 in the natural log of brain size from Diniz-Filho and Raia's Table 1: the distance is the natural log of the ratio of the two volumes divided by 0.10, which gives 11.5 from 1,350 cc, 7.0 from 860, 4.2 from 650 and 3.7 from 614. ↩ ↩ ↩ ↩ - 6.
Kubo, Daisuke et al. “Brain size of Homo floresiensis and its evolutionary implications.” Proceedings of the Royal Society B 280(1760):20130338. Jun 7, 2013. A high-resolution micro-CT measurement of LB1's endocranial volume, 426 cc, with about 17 per cent of the surface reconstructed, followed by brain-on-body scaling from two candidate ancestors using slopes fitted across twenty Holocene human populations. The authors note that the slope is a within-human one extrapolated below the human range. Mirror: PMC
- 6a.
Page 6: “In our model of ancestor (early Indonesian H. erectus) and descendant (LB1) relationships, and RMA or MA scaling, the estimated body size decrease (changes in the FHD from 45–50 to 31 mm) would reduce the ECV from 860 to 469–585 cc (63–90% reduction) by body size scaling alone (table 2).” Page 5, table 2: The table's expected volumes after shrinking Homo habilis at 614 cc to LB1's femoral head are 488, 468, 447, 417, 449, 427, 400 and 378 cc across the eight slopes. The habilis start is the mean of three skulls, KNM-ER 1470, 1805 and 1813, at 614 cc, with a femoral head of 42 mm from two femora, KNM-ER 1472 and 1481a (pages 4 and 6). From the earliest Indonesian Homo erectus at 860 cc the same eight slopes give 599–649, 561–616, 522–582, 469–536, 525–585, 485–551, 438–508 and 400–474 cc. ↩ ↩ ↩ ↩
- 6b.
Page 6: “Still, the earlier-mentioned results, based on the best available data and various regression methods, suggest that at least 50 per cent, probably much more, of the brain size reduction in H. floresiensis could occur as scaling effect if this little hominin derived from early Indonesian H. erectus. This means that 0–50% of its brain size decrease needs to be explained by other factors.” ↩ ↩
- 6c.
Page 6: “In the model of Martin et al. [8], decreased body size from 60 (estimated average for generalized H. erectus) to 16 kg (smallest estimate for LB1 [1]) results in only moderate reduction of ECV from 991 to 794 cc.” ↩
- 6d.
Page 7: “We conclude that evolution from early Javanese H. erectus to H. floresiensis was possible in terms of brain size. Still, in this scenario, some amount of the brain size reduction remains to be explained by factors other than body size scaling, posing a challenge to our current knowledge about human brain size evolution. If H. floresiensis descended from H. habilis-like ancestor, the need for such relative brain size reduction is less significant, but we stress currently we have no convincing fossil evidence to support this hypothesis except for the brain size issue discussed here.” Page 5, table 2: The two steepest slopes, the OLS-CC fits, give 438 to 508 cc for males and 400 to 474 cc for females from the 860 cc Javan start. ↩ ↩
- 6a.
- 7.
Diniz-Filho, José Alexandre Felizola, and Pasquale Raia. “Island Rule, quantitative genetics and brain–body size evolution in Homo floresiensis.” Proceedings of the Royal Society B 284(1857):20171065. Jun 28, 2017. The only published quantitative-genetic pricing of the hobbit's dwarfing: 50,000 simulations of a 50 kg, 750 to 1,000 cm³ ancestor becoming a 27 kg, 426 cm³ descendant, with heritability 0.725, over 2,000 to 10,000 generations. Diniz-Filho is a Brazilian evolutionary ecologist, Raia an Italian palaeontologist. Mirror: PMC
- 7a.
Page 1: “We showed that insularity may have triggered slightly different evolutionary trajectories for body and brain size, which means explaining the exceedingly small cranial volume of H. floresiensis requires additional selective forces acting on brain size alone.” ↩
- 7b.
Page 4: “Under Lande's [36] model, the mean value of truncation selection threshold b was equal to 3.138 ± 0.155 phenotypic standard deviations, which corresponds to a minimum selective mortality of about 8.48 × 10−4 per generation (95% CI between 4.01 × 10−4 and 2.71 × 10−3) against the largest individuals.” ↩ ↩ ↩
- 7c.
Page 4: “We started by applying a range of 50 kya to 300 kya for the time”. The paper writes kya for thousands of years. “Thus, combining these limits for divergence time with an average generation length of ca 30 years [63,64] gives lower and upper limits of approximately 2000–10 000 generations for the divergence between H. floresiensis and H. erectus.” ↩
- 7d.
Page 5: “Under the range of parameters used in the simulations, there is a wide possible variation in EBS, with a mean of 479 ± 73 cm3 (figure 3a). Although the 426 cm3 estimated for LB1 brain size is within this relatively wide interval, the mean EBS values from the simulations are slightly larger than 426 cm3. The distribution of expected ancestral brain size (EABS) peaks at around 750 cm3 (median 775, with 95% CI from 628 to 1050)”. ↩
- 7e.
Page 5: “A total of 21.3% simulations gives EBS values in the range of 400–450 cm3.” EBS is the expected brain size of the descendant. The sentence runs across a column break. “the brain size of simulations is skewed towards values perfectly fitting the range of early H. erectus, peaking at about 750–800 cm3.” “although larger values close to the lower limit found in H. sapiens, or the upper limits for H. erectus, that is around 1000–1100 cm3, are present within the EABS distribution (figure 3b).” ↩
- 7a.
- 8.
The rate figures are this article's own, computed in
research/dwarfing-rates.tsin the parent article's folder and recomputed separately for this article. Definition: a haldane is the change in the natural log of the trait, divided by the pooled standard deviation of the log, divided by the number of generations.17 Inputs: body mass 50 kg to 27 kg and heritability 0.725, both from Diniz-Filho and Raia;7 standard deviation of log body mass 0.15 from Evans17 or 0.05 from Diniz-Filho and Raia; a generation of 25 years, which is this article's assumption. The change is the log of 50 over 27, or 0.616, which is 4.1 standard deviations at 0.15 and 12.3 at 0.05. The Jersey deer: log of 6, over 0.15, over 2,300 generations, gives 0.0052 haldanes; from Evans's own inputs, 200 kg to 36 kg in 5,800 years at 2.5 years a generation, it is 0.0049.17 Evans's fastest three-fold decrease in 1,000 generations gives 0.0073. All three are floors, because the durations are maxima. LB1 on the conventional clock: 0.616 over 0.15, over 2,000 and 10,000 generations, gives 0.0021 and 0.0004. The young-earth windows are this article's scale figures, which no creationist source states for the hobbit: 250, 500 and 1,000 years at 25-year generations are 10, 20 and 40 generations, and 4,200 years is 168; the same change over those gives 0.41, 0.21, 0.10 and 0.024 haldanes, which are 3.0, 1.5, 0.75 and 0.18 times the 0.137 of Falconer's mice.9 The share of each generation that must leave no children comes from the breeder's equation, response equals heritability times selection differential. The per-generation response in standard deviations is divided by 0.725 to give the selection intensity, and the fraction of a normal distribution that must be cut from the top to produce that intensity is found from the standard formula, intensity equals the height of the normal curve at the cut divided by the fraction kept. At a standard deviation of 0.15 that is 35, 16, 7 and 1 per cent; at 0.05 it is 89, 53, 25 and 5 per cent. With 20-year generations the first set becomes 27, 12, 5 and 1 per cent; with 30-year generations, 42, 19, 9 and 2. As a check, the same sum on Diniz-Filho and Raia's inputs, 0.05 and 6,000 generations, gives a cut 3.15 standard deviations out and a share of 8.3 in ten thousand, against their published 3.138 and 8.48. From a habilis-sized start the distance is shorter by the ratio of the log changes in femoral-head diameter in Kubo's model, 42 to 31 mm against 45 or 50 to 31 mm, which is 0.82 or 0.64; that assumes body mass scales on femoral-head diameter by the same power in both, and it gives shares of 21 to 28, 9 to 12 and 4 to 5 per cent for the three scale windows. Truncation is the most efficient form of selection, so softer selection would need to remove more. ↩ ↩ ↩ ↩ ↩ - 9.
Gingerich, Philip D. “Rates of evolution on the time scale of the evolutionary process.” Genetica 112–113:127–144. Nov 2001. Measures how the rate of change in a trait depends on the interval it is measured over, using D. S. Falconer's 1973 selection experiments on mouse body weight, field studies, and fossil sequences, all in haldanes. Gingerich is a University of Michigan palaeontologist who named the haldane as a unit. Mirror: Archive.org
- 9a.
Page 130: “In the second, six ‘small’ lineages were maintained in the laboratory for 23 generations, selected in each generation for smaller body size.” Page 132: “A line fit to all points declines slightly as interval length gets longer (slope −0.000), indicating a very slight decline in response over time. This line has an intercept of −0.138, and a predicted H0 of −0.138, which is again very close to the observed mean rate of −0.137 for 1-generation rates (Figure 4(A)).” Rates are in standard deviations of log body weight per generation. The experiment is Falconer's, on six-week body weight of laboratory mice. ↩ ↩ ↩
- 9b.
Page 140: “Microevolutionary studies yield rates on the order of 10⁻¹–10⁻² haldanes calculated over intervals of historical time ranging from 10¹–10² generations.” ↩
- 9a.
- 10.
Wood, Todd Charles. “Baraminological Analysis Places Homo habilis, Homo rudolfensis, and Australopithecus sediba in the Human Holobaramin.” Answers Research Journal 3:71–90. 2010. The founding statistical-baraminology study of the hominins, by the young-earth biologist most identified with the method. It places Homo habilis, Homo rudolfensis and Australopithecus sediba with humans on skull and tooth characters, and lists the hobbit only as a possible additional member. Locators are section names. ↩
- 10a.
Section Discussion: “Homo floresiensis was also included in the inconclusive Argue et al. (2009) dataset. Their cladistic analysis would seem to place H. floresiensis among the homininans, although bootstrap support was exceptionally poor. Creationist opinion on H. floresiensis differs. Hartwig-Scherer (2005) and Wise (2005) consider it a legitimate human species, but Line (2006) believes that it was a microcephalic H. sapiens. This debate also continues among professional paleoanthropologists … but it is immaterial to the question of whether H. floresiensis is human, which creationists agree that it is.” ↩
- 10b.
Section Discussion, The Human Holobaramin: “Despite these contradictory opinions, the present results strongly support the classification of all three species in the human holobaramin. … The human holobaramin here described includes only the species or specimens included in the datasets, namely H. sapiens, H. erectus, H. ergaster, H. rudolfensis, H. habilis, H. neanderthalensis, “Au.” sediba, and H. heidelbergensis … First, although holobaramins are supposed to be defined from “holistic” data, all of the datasets used in this study contain only craniodental data.” Table 3: The table lists H. floresiensis, H. antecessor and the Dmanisi hominid under "Possible additional taxa" of the human holobaramin. ↩
- 10c.
Section Discussion, Biblical and Cultural Context: “Third, the dispersal of the human population from Babel would presumably have been led by H. habilis and H. rudolfensis, specimens of which appear stratigraphically lower than any other human species. Specimens of both of these species (and of “Au.” sediba) are known only from Africa, whereas the erectus-like species (H. erectus sensu stricto, H. ergaster, and the Dmanisi hominids) are the next stratigraphically and the first human species to disperse across the Old World.” ↩ ↩ ↩
- 10d.
Section Discussion, The Human Holobaramin: “As noted above, Hartwig-Scherer (1999) considers H. habilis an australopith, but Lubenow (2004, pp. 299–301) and Line (2005a) believe some H. habilis specimens might be human. Additional creationists who reject the human status of H. habilis include Gish (1995, p. 279), Hummer (1979), Mehlert (1996), Murdock (2006), and Young (2006).” ↩
- 10a.
- 11.
Wieland, Carl. “Soggy dwarf bones.” creation.com. Oct 28, 2004. The first young-earth response, written the day the Nature papers appeared, with an addendum and a note. Wieland, a physician, was then head of Creation Ministries International's Australian office; the page is unsigned and his authorship is fixed by his later note in "Hobbling the Hobbit?" of 8 November 2004.
- 11a.
Section opening text, before the heading "Small brains, big achievements": “These may well have arisen because places with limited resources favour the transmission of already-existing genes which consume less of those resources—e.g., the genes for 'smallness'. Even a mutational stunting, like some hereditary instances of dwarfism today, might be favoured in such a situation and come to dominate a population.” ↩
- 11b.
Section opening text: “The researchers who discovered the Flores bones apparently think that they are dwarfed descendants of Homo erectus. We would agree.” ↩
- 11a.
- 12.
Mitchell, Elizabeth. “Hobbits of Flores Were an Archaic Human Variety, Studies Suggest.” Answers in Genesis, News to Know. Jul 15, 2016. Answers in Genesis's response to the 2016 redating and the Mata Menge fossils, by a physician on its staff. It accepts Baab's rebuttal of Down syndrome and reads Mata Menge as evidence of a population.
- 12a.
Section Island Dwarfism: Evolutionary Shrinkage?: “The population bottleneck of the global Flood about 4,350 years ago reduced the world's human population to eight people—Noah and his family. All the varieties of people in the world are their descendants. In the years following the Flood, after man's disobedience led to God's dispersal of the human population from the Tower of Babel, many groups of people would have been isolated linguistically, geographically, and genetically.” ↩
- 12b.
Section Island Dwarfism: Evolutionary Shrinkage?: “Whether the entire population manifested some sort of yet-to-be-identified growth disorder, island dwarfism, or genetically inbred characteristics, the remains of these small Flores inhabitants are consistent with our biblically based understanding that variations would have appeared among isolated groups of people after the global Flood and the subsequent dispersion from the Tower of Babel.” ↩
- 12c.
Section Small Archaic Humans or Diseased Modern Humans?: “Could hobbits be a dwarfed variety of Homo erectus, a variety of archaic human whose presence has been demonstrated in Southeast Asia, and specifically on Flores? Possibly.” ↩
- 12a.
- 13.
Rupe, Christopher, and John Sanford. Contested Bones. FMS Publications. 1st edition. 2017. The fullest book-length young-earth treatment of the human fossil record; its chapter 5, pages 79 to 94, is on the hobbit. Sanford is a retired Cornell plant geneticist; Rupe is a researcher at his foundation. A second edition appeared in 2019 and may differ in pagination.
- 13a.
Page 88: “Under these conditions severe inbreeding occurs, as well as selection for reduced body size and brain volume (see chapter 4). Deleterious mutations accumulate in the population and drift to fixation, causing changes in skeletal proportions and various other malformations.” ↩
- 13b.
Page 91: “We have shown that Erectus is just a variant of Homo sapiens. Hobbit can be understood as a extreme version of Erectus (more isolated, more inbred, more dwarfed).” "a extreme" is the source's wording. ↩
- 13c.
Page 92: “The findings of José Alexandre and colleagues is almost a point for point confirmation of our assessment of Hobbit in this chapter. … The researchers made the following points that were in remarkable agreement with our assessment, in addition to citing some of the same studies: 1) Hobbit is a dwarfed descendant of Erectus from Indonesia; 2) Hobbit’s small body and brain size was subject to insular dwarfism; 3) Hobbit’s small brain is explained by reductive selection; 4) reduced brain size would be advantageous in starvation conditions (because it is energetically costly); 5) dwarfed hippo fossils from Madagascar show how brain size can be reduced more than expected in relation to body size; and 6) this process can occur relatively rapidly in small, isolated populations.” Of Diniz-Filho and Raia 2017, whose time span is 2,000 to 10,000 generations. ↩ ↩
- 13a.
- 14.
Wise, Kurt P. “The Flores Skeleton and Human Baraminology.” Occasional Papers of the BSG 6:1–13. Nov 2, 2005. The one young-earth paper that gives the hobbit a place in a chronology and a mechanism other than disease or island selection. Wise is a Harvard-trained palaeontologist and the leading young-earth theorist of post-Flood diversification. Written eleven years before the Mata Menge fossils.
- 14a.
Page 1: “The morphology, age, and stratrigraphic relations of the recently described Homo floresiensis skeleton suggests it might represent a distinct post-Babel human population with an extreme morphology. Combined with the morphologies and relative ages of other post-Babel humans (e.g. H. erectus, H. neanderthalensis), H. floresiensis suggests a high post-Flood intrabaraminic diversification rate decreasing to the present.” "stratrigraphic" is the source's spelling. ↩
- 14b.
Page 1: “These changes in humans probably followed pre-programmed trajectories through biological character space, the specific course of which may have been largely effected by founder effect and genetic drift in small populations following Babel.” ↩
- 14c.
Page 2: “Lying between the Flood and ca 1000 B.C. (the time of David), the C-14 dates of LB 1 are consistent with a post-Babel date for the specimen. Thus although young-age creationists have not yet reinterpreted most of the absolute dating technologies employed for dating the Flores skeleton, a post-Babel patriarchal date is a very likely one.” ↩
- 14d.
Page 5: “if H. floriensis is not only a descendant of the erectines (probably the Indonesian erectines: Brown, et al. 2004, p. 1058) but also occupied a narrow geographical area (the Island of Flores), the Flores skeleton probably represents a more recent morphology of one lineage that dispersed from Babel.” "floriensis" is the source's spelling. ↩
- 14e.
Page 5: “I propose that the developmental programs of many of the Babel lineages changed rapidly in post-Babel times, creating a number of unique morphologies around the world.” Page 7: “Early post-Flood records (e.g. in Job and Genesis) of specialized taxa (e.g. camels, lions) suggest that intrabaraminic diversification was extremely rapid (within a few centuries of the Flood).” The second passage is about animals and plants, not people. ↩ ↩
- 14a.
- 15.
Klenck, Joel David. “A Genesis Model for the Origin, Variation, and Continuation of Human Populations.” Creation Research Society Quarterly 47(2):111–137. 2010. A creationist model in which the non-modern human forms of the fossil record are the Nephilim of Genesis 6 or their hybrids with Adam's line, all destroyed by the Flood, so that only anatomically modern humans come after it. It gives no dates in years and calls the conventional ones "alleged". Klenck wrote from the Paleontological Research Corporation of Arlington, Virginia.
- 15a.
Page 114: “Therefore, all human populations with characteristics outside those of anatomically modern humans—including but not limited to some specimens attributed to H. habilis and H. rudolfensis and most remains attributed to H. ergaster, H. erectus, H. antecessor, H. heidelbergensis, H. neanderthalensis, and H. floresiensis—should be interpreted as Nephilim or populations genetically influenced by the Nephilim.” The same page says the Flood destroyed "all Nephilim populations". ↩ ↩
- 15b.
Page 123, figure 2: “Just before the Flood human populations comprised direct non-Nephilim descendants of Adam, Nephilim populations, and hybrid populations with morphological features of both aforementioned groups. … (2.2) H. floresiensis, LB I, Liang Bua Cave, 18 kya, Liang Bua Cave, Flores, Indonesia”. From the caption. The 18 kya is the date then in print, one of those Klenck calls alleged. ↩
- 15a.
- 16.
Wise, Kurt P. “Egypt or Babel: Which Came First?” Answers magazine. Apr 2008. A short magazine piece placing Babel within the lifetime of Peleg.
- 16a.
Section Peleg and the "Division of the Earth": “The Bible gives us no more specific information on when Babel occurred—namely, it falls between the Flood and the time of Abraham, probably near the midpoint (around 2200 BC), give or take a century.” ↩
- 16a.
- 17.
Evans, Alistair R. et al. “The maximum rate of mammal evolution.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109(11):4187–4190. Mar 13, 2012. Maximum rates of body-mass change in mammals over 70 million years, in generations and in haldanes, against a reference set of 1,453 published rates. Evans is an evolutionary biologist at Monash University. Mirror: PMC
- 17a.
Page 4189: “The largest decreases, such as insular dwarfism, are more than 30 times the rate of increases of the same magnitude (Table 2).” ↩
- 17b.
Page 4189, table 2: "Minimum number of generations (millions) required to evolve various magnitudes of change in mammals", row for insular dwarfism, decrease: a three-fold change in 0.001 million generations, ten-fold in 0.008, hundred-fold in 0.12. The durations behind the island cases are maximum estimates, so these generation counts are ceilings. ↩
- 17c.
Page 4190: “In the reference dataset, the largest decreases in body size were rates of dwarfing in large mammals after isolation on islands by rising sea levels during the last few million years: elephants on the Mediterranean islands of Sicily, Malta, and Cyprus; mammoths on the California Channel Islands; and red deer on Jersey (SI Appendix). These island dwarfism cases involve body mass changes of 5- to 100-fold over estimated time intervals of 0.006–0.8 myr or 2,300–120,000 generations.” Reference numerals in the printed sentence are omitted. The same page states that the pooled standard deviation of log body mass was taken as 0.15. ↩ ↩
- 17d.
Page 4187: “Evolutionary rates of morphological traits such as size are often quantified in haldanes (h) (10, 11), which measure proportional change in a feature (Mi) between two time points (i) standardized by the available variation (pooled ln SD sp) using a timescale in number of generations (g): h = (lnM2 − lnM1)/(sp × g).” The i, the p and the 1 and 2 are subscripts in print. ↩
- 17e.
Page 4188: “A third dataset from empirical selection experiments on mouse body size (3, 14) measured evolutionary change over 1–23 generations. Directly comparing rates at different interval lengths is complicated; although a very high rate can be sustained for a short interval, over longer periods, rates tend to vary and the direction of evolution may change (12). Thus, interval length must be incorporated into any analysis.” ↩ ↩
- 17f.
Section SI Appendix, page 5, Examples of island dwarfism: “The Jersey deer represents a change from about 200 kg to 36 kg during a maximum of 5800 years (16). As this is a maximum estimate of the divergence time, this will represent a minimum and therefore conservative estimate of the evolutionary rate.” Reference 16 is Lister 1989. Table S4 of the same appendix gives the deer a generation of 2.5 years, which makes 5,800 years the 2,300 generations of the main text. ↩ ↩ ↩
- 17a.
- 18.
Bromham, Lindell, and Marcel Cardillo. “Primates follow the 'island rule': implications for interpreting Homo floresiensis.” Biology Letters 3(4):398–400. Aug 22, 2007. The first test of the island rule in primates, comparing island species with their nearest mainland relatives. Bromham is an evolutionary biologist at the Australian National University. Mirror: PMC
- 18a.
Page 399: “For the mass dataset, the three largest island species (over 7 kg) are 52, 61 and 80% of the size of their mainland counterparts. The predicted mass of H. floresiensis is around 55% of the mass of modern Indonesian H. sapiens, around 52% of the estimated mass of Indonesian H. erectus and similar in body size to some australopithecines”. ↩
- 18a.
- 19.
Tucci, Serena et al. “Evolutionary history and adaptation of a human pygmy population of Flores Island, Indonesia.” Science 361(6401):511–516. Aug 3, 2018. Genomes of the Rampasasa, the short-statured villagers beside Liang Bua: 32 people genotyped at 2.5 million sites, ten sequenced whole. Locators below are pages of the authors' manuscript; the journal pagination is 511–516. Tucci was then at Princeton. Mirror: PMC
- 19a.
Section manuscript page 2: “We collected DNA samples from 32 adult individuals from Rampasasa (average height of 145 cm)”. ↩
- 19a.
- 20.
Brumm, Adam et al. “Age and context of the oldest known hominin fossils from Flores.” Nature 534(7606):249–253. Jun 9, 2016. The dating paper for the Mata Menge hominins: argon-argon on single crystals, zircon and glass fission-track, laser-ablation uranium-series on a hominin tooth root, and combined uranium-series and ESR on two Stegodon molars from the fossil layer. Line numbers below are those of the authors' accepted manuscript, which is titled "Stratigraphic context and age of hominin fossils from Middle Pleistocene Flores"; the journal pagination is 249–253. Mirror: Strathprints.strath.ac.uk
- 20a.
Lines 171–175: “At Mata Menge, PGT-2 occurs 13.5 m above Layer II, and produced a 40Ar/39Ar weighted mean age of 0.65 ± 0.02 Ma from single crystal dating of hornblende (Extended Data Fig. 5). This is in accordance with the published ZFT age of a basaltic tephra inter-bed from the lower part of the GLM (0.65 ± 0.06 Ma).” ↩
- 20b.
Lines 104–108: “At the base of this slot-trench, a thin (<30 cm-thick) fossil-bearing fluvial sandstone layer was exposed underlying a sequence of mudflow deposits (Layers Ia-f) up to 6.5 m thick. This fossiliferous sandstone, named Layer II, represents the deposit of a small stream channel that has an irregular lower bedding plane and was incised into a well-developed, consolidated paleosol with prominent root traces (Layer III).” Lines 169–171: “The GLM contains at least 85 crystal-rich tephra inter-beds of basaltic composition, collectively named the Piga Tephra (the lower 56 tephras are sequentially numbered PGT-1 to PGT-56).” GLM is the Gero Limestone Member, the thin-bedded lake limestones and clays that cap the basin fill. PGT-2, dated in the next sentence, is one of the 85. ↩
- 20a.
- 21.
Tocheri, Matthew W. et al. “The Primitive Wrist of Homo floresiensis and Its Implications for Hominin Evolution.” Science 317(5845):1743–1745. Sep 21, 2007. Three-dimensional shape analysis of three of LB1's wrist bones against modern humans, Neanderthals, early Homo, australopiths and African apes. Tocheri, then at the Smithsonian, is a specialist in the primate wrist. Six of the ten authors were members of the Liang Bua excavation team.
- 21a.
Page 1743: “Analysis of three wrist bones from the holotype specimen (LB1) shows that it retains wrist morphology that is primitive for the African ape-human clade. In contrast, Neandertals and modern humans share derived wrist morphology that forms during embryogenesis, which diminishes the probability that pathology could result in the normal primitive state. This evidence indicates that LB1 is not a modern human with an undiagnosed pathology or growth defect; rather, it represents a species descended from a hominin ancestor that branched off before the origin of the clade that includes modern humans, Neandertals, and their last common ancestor.” ↩
- 21b.
Page 1743: “Instead, they show the general symplesiomorphic pattern exhibited by all extant African apes, as well as fossil hominins that preserve comparable wrist morphology and date before 1.7 Ma”. Page 1744: “However, LB1’s scaphoid includes a fused centrale, as does the OH7 scaphoid from Olduvai Gorge”. OH 7 is the type specimen of Homo habilis and is plotted in the paper's analysis of the scaphoid. Its analysis of the trapezoid has no fossil hominin other than Neanderthals and early modern humans, and its analysis of the capitate adds australopiths. ↩
- 21c.
Page 1745: “Unfortunately, no carpals are attributed to Homo erectus sensu lato, which is otherwise well represented in the fossil record between 1.8 and 0.8 Ma, with the exception of a partial lunate from Zhoukoudian”. ↩
- 21a.
- 22.
O'Micks, Jean. “Rebuttal to "Reply to O'Micks Concerning the Geology and Taphonomy of the Homo naledi Site" and "Identifying Humans in the Fossil Record: A Further Response to O'Micks".” Answers Research Journal 10:63–70. 2017. Part of O'Micks's exchange with Todd Wood over Homo naledi, in which he applies Wood's baraminology methods and concludes that both naledi and the hobbit are australopiths. The only published young-earth claim that the hobbit is not human.
- 22a.
Page 63: “H. floresiensis might well be another example of a fossil ape, based on both cranial and post-cranial characteristics (similar to H. naledi), mistaken to be a diminutive archaic human. … Baraminic analyses of one cranial data set and two post-cranial data sets suggest that both H. naledi and H. floresiensis are not part of the human holobaramin, but are rather australopiths.” ↩
- 22a.
- 23.
Wood, Todd Charles. “An Evaluation of Homo naledi and "Early" Homo from a Young-Age Creationist Perspective.” Journal of Creation Theology and Science Series B: Life Sciences 6:14–30. May 9, 2016. Wood's baraminology of Homo naledi and the Dmanisi skulls, with a review of which early forms he counts as human and on what grounds. It argues that the forms called early Homo are human. Mirror: Archive.org
- 23a.
Page 23: “For example, Wise (2005) argued based on usage of stone tools and fire that the Flores fossils referred to Homo floresiensis are the remains of true humans. In addition, Wise noted that their location east of Wallace’s line implied dispersal by boats, reflecting advanced technology. Thus, although Wood’s (2010) baraminological analysis of H. floresiensis was inconclusive, we may still include the Flores form in the human holobaramin.” ↩
- 23a.
- 24.
Brown, Peter et al. “A new small-bodied hominin from the Late Pleistocene of Flores, Indonesia.” Nature 431(7012):1055–1061. Oct 28, 2004. The paper that described LB1 and named the species. Brown, then at the University of New England, was the anatomist who cleaned and measured the skeleton; Morwood led the excavation. The stature and body-mass formulae are in its Supplementary Information.
- 24a.
Page 1060: “The first hominin immigrants may have had a similar body size to H. erectus and early Homo, with subsequent dwarfing; or, an unknown small-bodied and small-brained hominin may have arrived on Flores from the Sunda Shelf.” ↩
- 24a.
- 25.
Falk, Dean et al. “The Brain of LB1, Homo floresiensis.” Science 308(5719):242–245. Apr 8, 2005. A virtual endocast of LB1 from CT, compared with great apes, five Homo erectus, ten modern humans, a pygmy, one microcephalic and two australopiths. Falk is a palaeoneurologist at Florida State University. Its one-microcephalic comparison was its stated weakness, repaired in the 2007 paper.
- 25a.
Page 245: “Although it is possible that H. floresiensis represented an endemic island dwarf that, over time, became subject to unusual allometric constraints, an alternative hypothesis is that H. erectus and H. floresiensis may have shared a common ancestor that was an unknown small-bodied and small-brained hominin (1).” ↩
- 25a.
- 26.
Morwood, Michael J. et al. “Further evidence for small-bodied hominins from the Late Pleistocene of Flores, Indonesia.” Nature 437(7061):1012–1017. Oct 13, 2005. The second season's finds: LB1's right humerus and ulna, a second adult mandible (LB6/1), a very small adult tibia (LB8), and scattered bones of at least nine individuals. Its claims of a 12,000-year terminus and of fire use were later withdrawn or unsupported. Morwood led the Liang Bua project until his death in 2013.
- 26a.
Page 1016: “However, although tooth size and facial morphology dictate inclusion of the species in the genus Homo, the genealogy of H. floresiensis remains uncertain. Similarities in stature and body proportions with Australopithecus, for example, may reflect phylogeny or secondary evolutionary convergence. Either way, H. floresiensis is not just an allometrically scaled-down version of H. erectus.” ↩
- 26a.
- 27.
Jungers, William L. et al. “The foot of Homo floresiensis.” Nature 459(7243):81–84. May 7, 2009. Describes LB1's foot: a human-like big toe in line with the others, but a foot exceptionally long for the leg with ape-like proportions elsewhere. Jungers was the Liang Bua team's postcranial anatomist.
- 27a.
Section abstract: “was not Homo erectus but instead some other, more primitive, hominin”. Of the possible ancestor of the Flores form. ↩
- 27a.
- 28.
Argue, Debbie et al. “The affinities of Homo floresiensis based on phylogenetic analyses of cranial, dental, and postcranial characters.” Journal of Human Evolution 107:107–133. Jun 2017. Parsimony and Bayesian trees on characters of the skull, jaw, teeth and limb bones of Homo and Australopithecus together. Argue is an Australian National University palaeoanthropologist; Groves and Jungers were senior anatomists, Jungers on the Liang Bua team.
- 28a.
Section abstract: “The new data and analyses support the hypothesis that H. floresiensis is an early Homo lineage: H. floresiensis is sister either to H. habilis alone or to a clade consisting of at least H. habilis, H. erectus, Homo ergaster, and H. sapiens. A close phylogenetic relationship between H. floresiensis and H. erectus or H. sapiens can be rejected; furthermore, most of the traits separating H. floresiensis from H. sapiens are not readily attributable to pathology (e.g., Down syndrome).” ↩
- 28a.
- 29.
Menton, David N. et al. “Baraminological Analysis Places Homo habilis, Homo rudolfensis, and Australopithecus sediba in the Human Holobaramin: Discussion.” Answers Research Journal 3:153–158. Aug 25, 2010. Three separate replies to Wood's 2010 paper, printed together in the journal that published it. Menton was an anatomist at Answers in Genesis, Habermehl signs as an independent scholar, and DeWitt was at Liberty University's Center for Creation Studies. All three reject Wood's placement of Australopithecus sediba with humans.
- 29a.
Pages 155–156: “The enthusiasm of baraminologists for using statistical analysis to determine humanness should perhaps be tempered; indeed, this paper raises very real doubt whether statistical methods should be applied to baraminology at all.” From Habermehl's reply. ↩
- 29b.
Page 158: “Based on the discussion above, it would appear that the statistical baraminology results placing Homo habilis, Homo rudolfensis, and Australopithecus sediba within the human holobaramin is a false positive result. This is most clearly demonstrated for sediba and therefore raises questions about habilis and rudolfensis.” From DeWitt's reply. ↩ ↩
- 29a.
- 30.
Line, Peter. “Revisiting Homo floresiensis.” Journal of Creation 36(3):82–91. Dec 2022. The most recent and most detailed young-earth treatment. It discusses the 2016 redating and the Mata Menge fossils. Line holds a doctorate in neuroscience and writes Creation Ministries International's hominin articles. Its reference list carries Obendorf 2008, Oxnard 2010 and Oxnard's 2012 rejoinder, and not Brown 2012, Baab 2013, Baab 2016, Falk 2007 or Falk 2009; it also holds that Homo habilis is "an illusory species" and that all australopiths are "extinct apish primates." Locators are the section headings of the web version.
- 30a.
Section Australopithecine or Homo habilis: “Hence, Homo habilis is an illusory species. I regard all australopithecines, including the ones evolutionists assign to Homo habilis sensu lato, as extinct apish primates.” ↩
- 30a.
- 31.
Rupe, Christopher. “"Lucy" and the Pygmy Human Hypothesis.” Creation Research Society Quarterly 62:208–227. 2026. Argues that the Lucy skeleton is a small-bodied human from an isolated pygmy population and not an australopith, using the hobbit and Homo naledi as comparisons. Rupe is the co-author of Contested Bones.
- 32.
van den Bergh, Gerrit D. et al. “Homo floresiensis-like fossils from the early Middle Pleistocene of Flores.” Nature 534(7606):245–248. Jun 9, 2016. The first description of the Mata Menge hominin fossils, a mandible fragment and six teeth. van den Bergh is a palaeontologist at the University of Wollongong who has worked the So'a Basin since the 1990s.
- 32a.
Page 245: “These specimens comprise a mandible fragment and six isolated teeth belonging to at least three small-jawed and small-toothed individuals. … The Mata Menge fossils are derived compared with Australopithecus and H. habilis, and so tend to support the view that H. floresiensis is a dwarfed descendent of early Asian H. erectus. Our findings suggest that hominins on Flores had acquired extremely small body size and other morphological traits specific to H. floresiensis at an unexpectedly early time.” ↩
- 32a.
- 33.
Jacob, Teuku et al. “Pygmoid Australomelanesian Homo sapiens skeletal remains from Liang Bua, Flores: Population affinities and pathological abnormalities.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 103(36):13421–13426. Sep 5, 2006. The founding paper of the pathology school, by Teuku Jacob's team at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, which had the bones for study from November 2004. It proposes that LB1 is a microcephalic member of a pygmy modern population like the Rampasasa who live beside the cave. Contributed by K. Hsü, a co-author, under the PNAS rules of the time. Mirror: PMC
- 33a.
Page 13423: “Compared with our Rampasasa sample, with average cranial capacities of 1,198 ml (n = 41) for females, 1,354 ml (n = 35) for males, and 1,270 ml for the combined sex sample, LB1's cranial capacity directly measured using seed displacement was 430 ml. This volume is slightly higher than other published estimates, but we removed from the endocranial surface some breccia that had lowered earlier estimates. Comparatively, LB1 falls 5.5 SD below the combined sex Rampasasa mean, whereas our estimate for stature falls 3.3 SD below Rampasasa average stature of 1.46 m.” ↩ ↩
- 33a.
- 34.
Reeves, Colin R. “A Critical Evaluation of Statistical Baraminology: Part 1—Statistical Principles.” Answers Research Journal 14:261–269. Jul 14, 2021. A critique of the statistics behind baraminic distance correlation and its multidimensional-scaling companion, with a second part proposing ordinary cluster analysis in their place. Reeves is a statistician at the Applied Mathematics Research Centre, Coventry University, and writes as a creationist.
- 34a.
Page 261, section abstract: “This paper will argue that these methods are based on a shaky understanding of statistical principles, and that their use ought to be abandoned.” ↩
- 34a.
- 35.
Thomas, Brian. “How Do Hominids Fit with the Bible?” Institute for Creation Research, Acts & Facts. Apr 30, 2020. A short question-and-answer column sorting hominin fossils into ape, invented and human. Its two references for the hobbit are Hershkovitz et al. 2007, the Laron-syndrome paper, and Martin et al. 2006.
- 35a.
Paragraph final: “Homo floresiensis (nicknamed "Hobbit") presented a challenge. The skull and other fragments from a remote island in Indonesia came from a small person with a tiny head. Initial reports declared it a possible ancestor, but later work showed an excellent match between Hobbit and people today who have microcephaly. Diseased humans don't show evolution, just sin's curse on creation.” ↩
- 35a.